Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Castle Island | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Knicks Story | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Master Game | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Red Hot | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Paper | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Denington | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Masteroffoxhounds | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Large Risk | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chuck’s Law | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gray Is Okay | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | State Conceal | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Psalmist | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Owie | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | All Legal | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bob’s Carrot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hesper | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Focusyn | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forty Love | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pulgarcito | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Take Backs | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All About Croge | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Melly’s Birkin | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sevenon | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jailhouse Religion | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Triple Moon | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Dixie | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s All Ellie | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bullet Baby | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pickleball Queen | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vino Alla Mora | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Night Kiss | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | De’ Ans Eighty | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Abitibi | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gloriette | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiffany Twist | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Cruella | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frango Electrico | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Love Supreme | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Daring Madison | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crawford | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pickle Shoes | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cuvee Creed | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roiling | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tatania | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Complex Trick | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonlight Dash | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smokey Mandate | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Idratherbeblessed | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miranda Rights | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Judge Davis | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noises Off | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Poster | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Surly Furious | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Valala | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Victory Music | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Donna Romano | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Camila Catalina | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | What’s Up Dog | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mariette | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starlit Nite | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sugaree | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Incursion | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tom Cat Tuesday | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master Mule | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Own | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shadow Coast | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mi Dinero | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chado | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Suited and Booted | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thailand | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dufoof | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beale Street Boy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drop Shot | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lemon’s Law | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hoss N Boss | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Helpful Howie | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apollo’s Glory | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ruler of the Skies | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Still Sober | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zeppelin | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hayes Goal | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Fortuny | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | No Joke Joe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Apache One Six | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Lighter | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.