Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bradford | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flame Rock Fire | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Streak | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pyromania | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breaucode | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fierce Cat | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chahta Citizen | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | M King Baby | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Dakota | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Picasso Baby | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Confucius | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Special Stormy | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Insignis | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barbacoa | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lo Lo’s Laughter | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tap to Connect | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stiff Drink | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | River Raft | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Brad | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | McZ | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Top Notch Protocol | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Ruler | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deelitesandimsum | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Closing Agent | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Berndt Marshmallow | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zong’s Favor | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nathan Henry | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tommie’s True | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Doctor Leo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Home Visit | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Courtman | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sono | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Verdict | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | San Juan Hill | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Like This | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wild Bert | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Rachel | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Deal Me Aces | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Spinning Aces | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gabe’s Possum | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Running Bayou | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ocean Jackpot | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Boy | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tripple D Ruller | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Hope | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anacreon | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ice Again | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Strong Prospect | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aller Vite | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Ramirez | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summertime Peppers | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Temple City Run | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No More Business | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Marks Spirit | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Dad’s Guitar | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rite On Sam | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mo Sopo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Our Keepsake | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lovelyredstilettos | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Mischief | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She Has It All | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Save the Queen | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ourpeppermintcandy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pot’s Paycheck | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sophistry | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Puckster | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whatdidwedo | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unshakeable Proof | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yakety Yock | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quikonthetrigger | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Bodie | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stanley Little Boy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Righthoofleftright | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Lagarto | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.