Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Free Cash Flow | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Sunshine | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gotmistyonthemind | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Browneyedvalentine | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Aniya Gold | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bahamian Baby | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Go Chloe Go | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hurricane Jane | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | English Elsa | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mistress Alana | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bythebreeze | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hope She Fires | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Selvaggia | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Award | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vanzzy | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mac Daddy Too | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Warrior’s Vendetta | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | H C Holiday | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brumba Waffle Toes | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sailor’s Return | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Batter Up Bud | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Delicate | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wink of an Eye | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Girl | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eloper | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whatta World | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver City Kitty | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hot Rod Rumble | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Power Agenda | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clever Tiger | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bargaining Power | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Brown Shoes | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shanghai Superfly | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | English Painter | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rob the Rich | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Union Lights | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lord of War | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Deplane | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | He’s a Good Dancer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Wynn Giant | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mavis’s Prince | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joseph Potato | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Special Man | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jethro Excellence | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mi Hermano | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Six Seven | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Friday Surprise | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Adios Jersey | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Backtrack | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Kid Syd | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Booted Up | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Improbable | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wyatt Hunter | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hero’s Spirit | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carcharoth | 5.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Lucas | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Liberte de Bayeux | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pirate | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amore d’Oro | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chachaching | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Porter | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gametime Gladiator | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jackson Road | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | One Last Kiss | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Confirmed Star | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bella Queen | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | You’re the One | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hold Your Breath | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Burner Account | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dewey Doit | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cocoa’s Vivian | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mary Q | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ducale | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nancy Made My Day | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pogi | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Bob | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jebologist | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brindisi | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Macaw | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sam Wheat | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rerally | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run Cory Run | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
