Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maggie T | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Echo in Eternity | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spring Magic | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Book of Wisdom | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghostly Girl | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mambagigi | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Panagiotis | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Social Hour | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Capt Jax Parrow | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Free Dance | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aero Star | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Complex Music | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Plate | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Merica’s Back | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Counter Move | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kaz Oil Changer | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guilty | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Poppy’s Ticket | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twohonestmischief | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speightful Storm | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gypsy Art | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chasing Freedom | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bod Beach | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eva Ready | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tail Risk | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Overseer | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blazing Tiger | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Markinater | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fightforallegiance | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sonic Surge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Same Old Story | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dark Force | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Brooklyn Styles | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Notebook S.) – Notebook S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spirit of New York | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Truman’s Commander | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cristobal | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caroline St. Beat | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lawyer Mason | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Funny Factor | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jaxer | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Twirling Lad | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tim and Sam | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chummers | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Top Player | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hurricane Kaz | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kid Rich | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Toy Cannon | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twisted Banker | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Fern | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liamster | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moneybags Milton | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Runaway Roscoe | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Deacon Blues | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Central Spirit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Vinnie Bankerino | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rumblyoungmanrumbl | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tarpaulin | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brave Buck | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Funny Uncle | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heavyweight Champs | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ride Up | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dads Good Runner | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sin Nombre | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ava’s Uncle Billy | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Because the Night | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mr Flowers | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rabaja | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hedge the Risk | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Just for Luck | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Grant | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Kreesa | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blown Cover | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Reynolds Channel | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Final Denile | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scat Tu Tap | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Life and Light | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oat Coutour | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vintage Vino | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | House United | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Brave Bear | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Porosity | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Twenty One Red | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dinghy Bar | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Walta | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Baby Meanie | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cerro Rico | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Munny Talks | 3.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drop Me a Dime | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nickerson | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Music in Motion | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tampa Storm | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Wamo | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Flint Steel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Take a Stance | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hoity Moroni | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Tizlawry | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Pure Mischief | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.