Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Takeittothehouse | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Destiny’s Grace | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sister Ella | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hittin My Stride | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wings of a Sparrow | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Too Spicy | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saucy Gem | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saint Isabel | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flying I | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sissue | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Missheartbreaker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Nownowdancer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Warrior’s Justice | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rusty’s Sunrise | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ground Control | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Island Gold | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Dealority | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Agami | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | He’s Exaggerating | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All Lake | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scar Ship | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lee Street | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dr. Dean | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gary P | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Minimus Maximus | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alotlikechocolate | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Money Drop | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dirty Deal | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Martin’s Mo Tom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | He’s Therealdeal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kerrigan’s Touch | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perceptive | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Foreign Tourist | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Craftroom | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beulah K | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lacis Jewel | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Target | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | New Destiny | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glistening Gal | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runtolive | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Basile | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swamp Queen | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pasila | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lightening Mo | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lassie Bee | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | No Map Needed | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Easy for Me | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Everloving | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Graceful Star | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Leona | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gimme It All | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Littlebitofaqueen | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thousand Angels | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Signora Vittoria | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Walkinaftermidnite | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dewclaw | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Game and Gormley | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Tap Baby | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chad’s Flash | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pitch and Run | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Native Star | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Takeover Fiftyfour | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Thimble | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | American Know How | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Xperiment | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hap Hot | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Edge | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Academic | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fiesty Fist | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doctored Deal | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Eagle | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tussling Charlie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Max Is G Money | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Concentration | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angelic Knight | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Monopoly Man | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eligio | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Metallic Mischief | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King’s Lute | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Screen | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Breeze | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.