Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Happy Prince | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Project Ace | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Props | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quarry | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tazzy | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Onyx Outlaw | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Survivin’onaprayer | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Valley of Kings | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bolt On the Rocks | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scooch Over | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Ellary | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Faire Plaisir | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aviso | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dawn After Dawn | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vino Tiempo | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Angel Bella | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Not a Joke | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mizmalice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Chilukki S. Presented By Resolute Racing) – Chilukki S. Presented By Resolute Racing
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | One Magic Philly | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ragtime | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shred the Gnar | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Impel | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Literate | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zadorsky | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Diva | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Concrete Glory | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wound Up | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Raymond | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swaggish | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Empire’s Best | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Panthor | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Illini | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spotted Bull | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Warning | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tap in Formation | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ashima | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Goats On a Tree | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Seat At the Table | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Settling Storm | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Story Hour | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Windy Walk | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nerazurri | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cairo Street | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Getaway Palace | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Liberty Belle | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vinos Angel | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Morning Miracle | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Outofthe Blue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Differently | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Show Off | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ask Amanda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | I Feelucky Tonite | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Road | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time for Trouble | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hoodlum | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Malibu | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Syntactic | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King’s River | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Money Run | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Liam the Brave | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shotshell | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Blast Radius | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Daddy Justify | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Swiss Guard | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Knox | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Metatron’s Muse | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | El Perfecto | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Beau Soleil | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jubilant Joanie | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pink Rose | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sadie the Goat | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mercy Warren | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Next Girl | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Angelas Party Girl | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Savannamarie | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Hearted | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lucky Ana | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oops and Downs | 50.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lika Rolling Stone | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Onmywaytosavthday | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | What If | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Bad Beat Brian | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frosty View | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pinfire | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | High Front | 15.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shape Note | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Final Verdict | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chiseler | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spoke | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chiringo | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | All Jokes Aside | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Chromed Impulse | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Mr. Melo | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sosua Summer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fluid Situation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Speed Figures | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Vinsanity | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gilmore | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Noble Knight | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Unlimitedpotential | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soze | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Nation | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Keen Cat | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Global Sensation | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miacomet | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Outlaw | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lemon Drop Shot | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Penrod | 30.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Freedom Stance | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Air Cav | 30.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Yo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Takeschargesmiling | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Troillet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 17 | 17 | Overbore | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 18 | 18 | Bottles | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gilded Craken | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Navajo Warrior | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alternate Reality | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Double Your Money | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Point Dume | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Welaka | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bernin Hot | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cadet Corps | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Dr. Storm | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dance Some Mo | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | American Law | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Strike | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Overstatement | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Brilliant Man | 50.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carolo Rapido | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Le Gris | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Grounded | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gewurztraminer | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Echo Lane | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Risk Manager | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nantasket Beach | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goes the Clown | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King Curlin | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Abarrio | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Swiss Slang | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Azoi | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kalik | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stroke of Midnight | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Franz Josef | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Protonic Power | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Rancho | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.