Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Valley of Kings | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Project Ace | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quarry | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Prince | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Props | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Onyx Outlaw | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Survivin’onaprayer | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tazzy | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Miss Ellary | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aviso | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scooch Over | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bolt On the Rocks | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Angel Bella | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Not a Joke | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dawn After Dawn | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Faire Plaisir | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vino Tiempo | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mizmalice | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Chilukki S. Presented By Resolute Racing) – Chilukki S. Presented By Resolute Racing
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ragtime | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shred the Gnar | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Magic Philly | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Impel | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Literate | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zadorsky | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Diva | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Concrete Glory | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wound Up | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raymond | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tap in Formation | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swaggish | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Warning | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Panthor | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spotted Bull | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Empire’s Best | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Illini | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ashima | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nerazurri | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Goats On a Tree | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Settling Storm | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Getaway Palace | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Liberty Belle | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Morning Miracle | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Show Off | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Seat At the Table | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Windy Walk | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cairo Street | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Story Hour | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Differently | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Outofthe Blue | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Ask Amanda | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vinos Angel | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Road | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time for Trouble | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Malibu | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Money Run | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | I Feelucky Tonite | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hoodlum | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Blast Radius | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Metatron’s Muse | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Knox | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Perfecto | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Swiss Guard | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King’s River | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Daddy Justify | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Liam the Brave | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Syntactic | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shotshell | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Mercy Warren | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jubilant Joanie | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sadie the Goat | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Next Girl | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Beau Soleil | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lika Rolling Stone | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pink Rose | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Savannamarie | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Onmywaytosavthday | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angelas Party Girl | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two Hearted | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Lucky Ana | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oops and Downs | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | What If | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Frosty View | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pinfire | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Final Verdict | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shape Note | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Figures | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sosua Summer | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bad Beat Brian | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | High Front | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spoke | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Chromed Impulse | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fluid Situation | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chiseler | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 14 | 14 | All Jokes Aside | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chiringo | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vinsanity | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Mr. Melo | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gilmore | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Takeschargesmiling | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Noble Knight | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Nation | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Unlimitedpotential | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Keen Cat | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Global Sensation | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soze | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Yo | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miacomet | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Outlaw | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Troillet | 30.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Penrod | 30.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lemon Drop Shot | 30.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Air Cav | 30.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 17 | 17 | Overbore | 30.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Freedom Stance | 30.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 18 | 18 | Bottles | 30.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Navajo Warrior | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bernin Hot | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Point Dume | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cadet Corps | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Your Money | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gilded Craken | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Welaka | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alternate Reality | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Strike | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Overstatement | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dance Some Mo | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | American Law | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Dr. Storm | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carolo Rapido | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Le Gris | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Brilliant Man | 50.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Risk Manager | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Echo Lane | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grounded | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nantasket Beach | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gewurztraminer | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goes the Clown | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Franz Josef | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Abarrio | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stroke of Midnight | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kalik | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Protonic Power | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Rancho | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | King Curlin | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Swiss Slang | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Azoi | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.