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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 16, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Momentum Files 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Kavanaugh 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Sequential 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Party With Smarty 10.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Quiet Moon 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Dr. Insel 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Metatron 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Solo Jim 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Smallchangegeep 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Lucky Dragon 4.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Inonit 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Good Cop 2.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Carlin Contention 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Uncle Barrie 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Pebbles S.) – Pebbles S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Correto 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Love You Anyway 5.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Peak Hype 2.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Paradise City 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 It Ain’t Two (GB) 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Fast Market 1.80 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Exact Estimate 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Magical Ways 6.00 1.9 3-1
7 7 Spirit Prince 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Niagara Skyline 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Starship Titan 3.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Coiled 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Irish Cork 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Whittington Park 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Certified Loverboy 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Ruddy Buddy 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Crushed It 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Waitlist 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Top Gun Rocket 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 V Cruizer 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Credit History 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Fightforallegiance 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Gulfy 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Felonious 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Ottinho 2.50 7.2 14-1
4 4 Up Yonder 8.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Enforced Agenda 10.00 8 15-1
8 8 Baltimore 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Magic (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Marketplaceofideas (GB) 4.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Ellesmere Island 3.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Dimensionality 5.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Tight Line 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Amazing Gracer 12.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Channel Check (GB) 15.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Classic Cara 30.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Paraiba Blue 50.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Trango Tower 1.60 SCRATCH
9 9 On a Summer Day 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Snide 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Forever Together S.) – Forever Together S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Oversubscribed (GB) 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Spinning Colors 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Malleymoo 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Nice as Pie 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Flowers for Me 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Miss Bonnie T 30.00 7 13-1
8 8 St. Benedicts Prep 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Tipple 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Bernietakescharge 1.40 SCRATCH
3 3 Sirona (GER) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 With the Angels 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Top Gun Girl 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Twirling Beauty 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Brzina 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Roswell 4.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Khali Magic 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Maggy’s Palace 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 All Class 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Perky 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Siyouni Flash (FR) 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Hola Gata 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Bobby M’s Girl 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Cynane 4.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 Curlin’s Girl 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Bobby Jean 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Pookie 8.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Trail of Gold 4.50 6 11-1
4 4 Luckforyou 50.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Miss Beethoven (FR) 8.00 10.1 19-1
11 11 Racing Colors 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Luna Moth 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Purloin 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Baby Sassicaia 50.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Walk With Me 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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