Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Goldenageactress | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Note | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Onmywaytosavthday | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moringa | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Misty Muppet | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Look Back | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Quibble | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Theoretically | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Publisher | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Up Country | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crisis Manager | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sixtyseven Mustang | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Money Man | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chowser | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bestball | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Handsome Pants | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morunning | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Expect the Best | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Weaponized | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Army Hero | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wind Rider | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Barca Billy | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Odorico | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Shot | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Eye On Ry | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Legacy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mena | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Black Powder | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Three Technique | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Masteroffoxhounds | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | What Say Thee | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Moogie Son | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ocean Pointe | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Right to Win (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiverton (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One True Shance | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Farm Team | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Graydaria | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Search | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lobo Salvaje | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Polster | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rocket Hoss | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sweetalkingbourbon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Patton’s Tizzy | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Protective | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storm the Streets | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Farley Hall | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tyler’s Turn | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Guardian | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Cordobes | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | You Belong Here | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Suited and Booted | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cant Stop Munnings | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kicking Clear | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bessamay | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Theodore George | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elko County | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly Guy Mick | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Bobo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Western Run | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ryan’s Shadow | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Marshal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gold Sovereign | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Courageous Clay | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Augusta Melody | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kavod | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Edge to Edge | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goodasiwonswas | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Finster | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Skylight | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lunar Module | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suncroft | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sinner’s Sin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bebedouro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Eglise | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Echo Again | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Nine Hundred | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Taylor’s Version | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ajaayb | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lips Say Bliss | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy American | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Thoughtthatcounts | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Keep It Easy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chip Honcho | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prince of Light | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stable Hero | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | McFasty | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fuzzbuster | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marauder | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Task Force O | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Phila Street | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sartorial | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Project | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Power Boost | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Redemption Hour | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Corona de Oro | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Magic Moose | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Refined Design | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.