Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Indy Charge | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Johnson | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grey Shadow | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Redesdale | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Freddie by a Nose | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | After the Game | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crigler | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Humor | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hawaiian Argument | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Cheese Bread | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Baby Jane | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | D’busker | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inez | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love in the Dark | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Riptide Rose | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Talkabout | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gigi’s Luv | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mid West Fun | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tensas Clear | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five Leaf Clover | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | This Gray Mischiev | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Uninspired | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blazing Saber | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steve’s Trouble | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toms Lucky Mo | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lincoln Production | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Friendly Hint | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cut Day | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Embrace My Heart | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mo Can Do | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Easy Eddie A | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Box of Candy | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Like Clockwork | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Glacial Power | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Catalina Express | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Liam and Alan | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quinnsaltyofficer | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Auto Dial | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deal Em Justice | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Theboyz Warning | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Staniel Cay | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ciel | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Changing Times | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Emerald Express | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smoothdini | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baron of the Nile | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dried Pepper | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zong Tough | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Napoleonic Code | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Colonel Barton | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Global Pride | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Two Worlds | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | William Gustavo | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Boss Soss | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iron in the Fire | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sophie’s Painter | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bayou Jam | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grunt | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Idol | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muffin Nuts | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slew City Henry | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nomoretanlines | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raise the Alarm | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bold Exaggeration | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Girl in Red | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Who’s Madie | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Glass | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grace the Kingdom | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Misty Mood | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amy D | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Drobny | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arromax | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | You’re On Mute | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dustin the Diamond | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana Boss | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Second Louie | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | White Ice | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Kings | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chief Kimosabi | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.