Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zambezi | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Player | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hailstorm | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Bahjy | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Authentic Gallop | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Solid Left | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alongcomesawoman | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mombayla | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Del Mar | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starlit Sofi | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Birthday Girl | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Total Heart | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minnesota Rose | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star Watch | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Morlock | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Come to Papa | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lebombo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Concrete Cruiser | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ky Do Declare | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Town Jazz | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Compadre | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Rog | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Or Magique | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sang | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adalene | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cloud Number Nine | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Reya Sunshine | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Pippa | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sand Queen | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brave Samantha | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen’s Legacy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Baby Tender | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pauline’s Angel | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy Emily | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Infiltrate | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patrol Squad Six | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Easy Wind | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | East Village | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time for Money | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | So Special | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swamp King | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Herbs Bolt | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Orville’s Map | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Show Me the Munny | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | September Silver | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Talmadge | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rebel With a Cause | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Midway Munny | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Coal Fired | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Sapphire | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honor Bound | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Put Me in Coach | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brunch With Amy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Mo | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moon Over Choctaw | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Atlantic Passage | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vino Frizzante | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sugar Hi | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Feasible | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Late to the Game | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oak Alley | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Reign Champagne | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Lady Iva | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Pharaoh | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Auntie | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Thames | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clairita | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Worry Be Gone | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Look Now | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Twolatebabydoll (FR) | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coastal Cabin | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Real Assay | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eenymeanymightymo | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chere Amia | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Click Here | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Third Kiss | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Not This Boy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catching Freedom | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Capital Idea | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gun Party | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mackman | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Best Actor | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Power | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jayhawk | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Fizzy Lass | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Halfway to Omaha | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Legal Lightning | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | R Kendl | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Noulikeabook | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fleeting Moon | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Blanco | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Got Game | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cara Felce | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Poppy Woppy | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Sweet Agenda | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Little Lass | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.