Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sharper Gal | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honor His Half | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eagle Express | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruby the Destroyer | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mamba Out | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rumpus | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Cost | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Munnings Catsle | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oak Hill Lg | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catalina Day | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bet On Bobby | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twofexusnexus | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tonteria | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scooteria | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Certified Gem | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lily’s Creed | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Carmelina | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In Your Life | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Talksalot | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Kennedy | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roll Gypsy Roll | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsan | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dick Best | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Skipper’s Pride | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Contemplation | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mailman Money | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gorilla Trek | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heat Lightning | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deccan Prince (IRE) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pico d’Oro | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Justice Once | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Now and Later | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hawks Creek | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | El Maximo | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Day | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Penei | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Splurge | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Titanium Man | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Gunner | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Max S | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Blaze | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Serene Kathleen | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosie’s Angus | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | All About Me | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rock Star Doctor | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Start Singing | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blueberry Eyes | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Desert Glow | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | April’s Gem | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Xcaret | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Irish Kitten | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Im Singled Up | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Miss Harmonic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Roar of Silence | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Donovan L. Ferguson Memorial S.) – Donovan L. Ferguson Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Swampy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Sunshine | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summers With Sonya | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wickedwithbourbon | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fly Strong | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allons Betta Lee | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liteupthenite | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Miss Curlin | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | On the Horizon | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nelson’s Penny | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | More Sweeter | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fregata | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Acquazurra | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Al Muheerah | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Blue Line (GB) | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spare Me | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wooten Warrior (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Raging Current | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hidden Map | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mothertwotheblues | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Stellar Knickie | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bugs Malone | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stress Test | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Lady Blast | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Spring in Paris | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Man Brandon | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shot Gun Shack | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Romeo Spikes | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mister Banderas | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Who Is Chief | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Musical Band | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rescue Squad | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Time | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Free Scrim | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cajun Moviestar | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Remi | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Warrior Rouxgaroux | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Jayne’s Rockstar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bob’s Channel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Such a Pickle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.