Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pure Connection | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Icy River | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jeri Dawn | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paula M | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All Aflutter | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Okie Bling | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love Pack | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cawkab | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pass Line | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Legendary Lore | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lea Me Be | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brock On By | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wartime Hero | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Janes Girls | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Iuka Miss | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cloud Angel | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grace Given | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summertimee | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Mia | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Queen Clancy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maddienlizzyshonor | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Protocol | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gloryibee | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Courtinbymoonlight | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bee’s Moonshine | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sugarfreesugarbaby | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Go West | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slew Skies | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pinky Ring Bling | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Affectionto Autism | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Wife Is Right | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Weird Year | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vicente’s Shadow | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Loco Luna | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mega Shack | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hard Gold | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | The Last Moxy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Red Hot Shot | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buck Pie | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Flatter | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Passed Promise | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Down Periscope | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Photoshopped | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Just Tap Out | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Stonington | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rickie Roooo Ster | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Falcon Quest | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bishop Creek | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hopkinsville | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rockets Blaze | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Constitutionreview | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Banchero | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Code Eleven | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Expensive Game | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Tom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Swiftwind | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Promisemeanempire | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kerry’s Kiss | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mysidehustle | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So Jordan | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arsonist | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin Lucky Again | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bette Davis | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | In Spite of It | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forever Safe | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secured | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katies Spirit | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bridgie Bop | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Presleys Turn | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pondicherry | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Say as I Say | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Checker’s Song | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Find the Light | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lottery Ticket | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Hakuhia | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Caleb’s Candy | 30.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mystical Code | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Anna Up | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.