Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Flight | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | G Rocks | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golexgo | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Broadway Musical | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flying for Triumph | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful McKinzie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stay Beautiful | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cinnamon Sugar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starlit Nite | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aye Bay Bay | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dos Amores | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Virago | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Celestial Harmony | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Espresso | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Patty Van Twinkle | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Promises to Dance | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Always Angels | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Argan | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Copper Em | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Magic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ravin’s Ransom | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sexagenarian | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shan | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charbonnay | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Math Tutor | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bottles | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kirin | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tricky Kitty | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Something Stronger | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Attitude | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Low Key in Love | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Modarosa | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Go Go | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Good Game | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tetiaroa | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vina Arana (IRE) | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cotillard | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Sexy Blonde | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Bijou Baby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Appellate | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Freak City | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Feeling Beachy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Caitlin Time | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Souperrazzledazzle | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Justice Addition | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Honorisia | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Desperate Dreams | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Howyoudosomething | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Warm Up the Bus | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sonic Sass | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crevalla de Vil | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | California Smoke | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hope Rising | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Constructively | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Magnolia | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lets Shance It | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Miss Mo Magic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Chiquita’s Way | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lady Upstart | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Manage Xpectations | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wits and Wagers | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aggro | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Had That One Too | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mizmalice | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bump in the Night | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ladan | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fourfiftyseven | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fasta Lavista Baby | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lilmorecraken | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Touch of Magic | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kayla’s Komet | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joke Maker | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | More Coffee | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Never Said No | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Sheryl | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marjoram | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tapajo Belle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Easy Effort | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Off the Payroll | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Good Lord | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Riddle Solver | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Timing Difference | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bob’s Carrot | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Comes a Time | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Colonel Caliente | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brody | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Chalk | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Forty Love | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lou’s Legacy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Thunderhawk | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Michael’s Cove | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Commonwealth Turf S.) – Commonwealth Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Troubleshooting | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Montador | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anegada | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mansetti | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chapman’s Peak | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Giocoso | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Plensa | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outrunner | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flying Mohawk | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | California Burrito | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Simulate | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sleepingonfreedom | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Asap | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Apple Patrick | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Horse of the Sea | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vitruvian Man | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Politics | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Colt Forty Seven | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seal Bay | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tisum | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Collecting | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Brazilian Conexao | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.