Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Munnings Express | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Central to Success | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Straca | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sunshine Lily | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carol T | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Howling Wind | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mambagigi | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Starship Lizzy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Choppin Brockley | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salute to Service | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hudson River Line | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taparoo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Miracle | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pencima | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wayward Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Free Spin | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fateful Lightning | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | New York Scrappy | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Into Inspiration | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cat Fast | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magnanimous Max | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr R T | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fiddling Felix | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Forever Together S.) – Forever Together S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Oversubscribed (GB) | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nice as Pie | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spinning Colors | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Malleymoo | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flowers for Me | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Racing Colors | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Bonnie T | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | St. Benedicts Prep | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tipple | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bernietakescharge | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Credit History | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fightforallegiance | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Felonious | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gulfy | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ottinho | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enforced Agenda | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baltimore | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Up Yonder | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Obliterator | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grumblyrumhogan | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foolish Mortal | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Where’s Your Boom | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Spice | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Larry | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raging Sea Captain | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Commander | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Treadstone | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger Rocket | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shadow Surge | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Middle Market | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Platform | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salming | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cocktailsnkringle | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gamebred | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Spun | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mike’s Magic | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Redacted | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Pebbles S.) – Pebbles S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Correto | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Treasure | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love You Anyway | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peak Hype | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paradise City | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Market | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Pegasus | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | With the Angels | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | It Ain’t Two (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thorsness | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Apalta | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noguchi | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Hero Code | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dr. Insel | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Down the Line | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enduring Angel | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Barrie | 50.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daytona Moonshine | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Commander | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.