Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Army Nurse | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Senora d’Oro | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lovely Words | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raconteuse | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Velveteen | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stacking Tens | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Our Shenanigan | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Versed | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gray Is Okay | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hardtoblame | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Treblewiththecurve | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Banker’s Jet | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frosted Mug | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bravazomoso | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blythes Ferry | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pattern Approach | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss Call | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scot’s Law | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Glide | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Little Crazy | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Woodruff | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alta Avenue | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Authentic Angel | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quince | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mo Hope | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Askari | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Groveland | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Polar Bear Plunge | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sprint Out Pass | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cloudy Holiday | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raising Kane | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tejas | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bushido | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dutch Mills | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shipman | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | W W Crazy | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Cool Dude | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nabokov | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Khozy My Boy | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | M B’s Munning | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lord Majesty | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pierce Elevated | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hometown Hero | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ready Pursuit | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hear the Queen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tutta La Vita (AUS) | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exclusive Star | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heart Spin | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Appellate | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grade A | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bijou Baby | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Caitlin Time | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Competitive Threat (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Birkin Girl | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kittens Stormy Gal | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freak City | 50.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Differently | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Beets | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Triumphant Spirit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Oil Capital | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Discotheque | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Coastal Breeze | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | City of Life | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Highway Patrol | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Outofpi | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love That Symphony | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nash Potatoes | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maximum Bourbon | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saving Heart | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Alias | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Antietam | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Historic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Purple Heart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Once Upon a Time | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Thoughtthatcounts | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Can’t Hush This | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Excite | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Solo Venturi | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Money Supply | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Max | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Snead | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jack’s Promise | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Warlander | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mount Horeb | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rocky Joy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blast Furnace | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bite and Strike | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Hidden Chamber | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joejoe Go | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Domingo | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jonathan’s Song | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Obelisk | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnite in Finley | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gibran | 50.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Fort Thomas | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Maximum Promise | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Maui Strong | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Show of Force | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Like Water | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mumdoggie | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exhibition | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Circle Tap | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Trouble Calling | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Phantom Slayer | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wall Street | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mob | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Boss Dylan | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Impractical | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magicstrikesagain | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ocelli | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fifty Four Yarder | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.