Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Our Shenanigan | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Army Nurse | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Senora d’Oro | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raconteuse | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovely Words | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stacking Tens | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Velveteen | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hardtoblame | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gray Is Okay | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Versed | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pattern Approach | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bravazomoso | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Frosted Mug | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blythes Ferry | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Treblewiththecurve | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Banker’s Jet | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss Call | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Little Crazy | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Glide | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alta Avenue | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scot’s Law | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Authentic Angel | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Woodruff | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quince | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Askari | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Groveland | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Polar Bear Plunge | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sprint Out Pass | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raising Kane | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Hope | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cloudy Holiday | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tejas | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bushido | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shipman | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Cool Dude | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | W W Crazy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nabokov | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dutch Mills | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lord Majesty | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | M B’s Munning | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pierce Elevated | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Khozy My Boy | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hometown Hero | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready Pursuit | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hear the Queen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Competitive Threat (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grade A | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exclusive Star | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tutta La Vita (AUS) | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Appellate | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Triumphant Spirit | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Beets | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Birkin Girl | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Caitlin Time | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heart Spin | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bijou Baby | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Differently | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freak City | 50.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kittens Stormy Gal | 50.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Discotheque | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Antietam | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Oil Capital | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Alias | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Coastal Breeze | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maximum Bourbon | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Once Upon a Time | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nash Potatoes | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Historic | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | City of Life | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Purple Heart | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Outofpi | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Highway Patrol | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love That Symphony | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saving Heart | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Excite | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Can’t Hush This | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thoughtthatcounts | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Max | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Money Supply | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jack’s Promise | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Solo Venturi | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Snead | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mount Horeb | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Warlander | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bite and Strike | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rocky Joy | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Maximum Promise | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joejoe Go | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blast Furnace | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Maui Strong | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Fort Thomas | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Domingo | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | The Hidden Chamber | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jonathan’s Song | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Obelisk | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnite in Finley | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Show of Force | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gibran | 50.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wall Street | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mumdoggie | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trouble Calling | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boss Dylan | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mob | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Fifty Four Yarder | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Circle Tap | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magicstrikesagain | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Like Water | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Phantom Slayer | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exhibition | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ocelli | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Impractical | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.