Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Frosted Lace | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s a Shore Thing | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Purple Lu Lu | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Momma Pic | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laugh Like Lucy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Breezethrutime | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holy Kingdom | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nouveau Riche | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Al Gimaam | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Notturno | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Earl of Dassel | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Max’s Glory | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Union Purrfection | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heat Alert | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fully Committed | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Riley’s Rockstar | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Regalpains | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | St Pete’s Passion | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunny Magic | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rogue Prince | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Son of Delilah | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Performer | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Song | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Encrypt | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Yoshida | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keeping the Faith | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Light My Way | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Aire | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muthabir | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Churning Berni | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bermuda Triangle | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Authentic | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Ern McCracken | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Mor Stones | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Penn Franklin | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Eake | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Extrasexyzqteepeye | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rhysie’s Rocket | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exciter | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Polar Magic | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mi Amol | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slash Alley | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | B D Saints | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smooth Motion | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exclusive Dancer | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Cupid | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Auden | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Be Honest | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vin Santo | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bijah Again | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Lou | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quaker City | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grey Bull | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monster Max | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lorden’s Pride | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Higher Sense | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wave Rider | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aussie’s Heir | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Casilda | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Truthorconsequence | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boutwell Time | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Music Clarifcation | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Butter Kisses | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Celestial Speed | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Attitude | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Cocoa Bean | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quercus | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cold Feet | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Candy | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Borracho | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magicnthemoonlight | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Roundtree | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tuff Constitution | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amazing Woo | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mac Daddy Too | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Omaha Eight | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Granted Success | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sam Wheat | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.