Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Harlan’s Bond | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wink of an Eye | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eloper | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Starship Legend | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mikey’s Song | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rose of Sharon | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You Know Me | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Flag Song Flyin | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sunny Side Up | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She Can Scat | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brooklyn Heights | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bruno Barber Girl | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trulli Warrior | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Redoubtableripken | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Booted Up | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Deportivo | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | God Is Life | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whoosh | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marchin Into April | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Dosser | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coach Clint | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Waitwaitdonttellme | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roman Goddess | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Megan’s Noel | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Chamita | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Erin’s Enthusiasm | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Expect to Be Ready | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girlfromouterspace | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Midlaner | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yuletide Gallop | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Palm Island | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neigh Dude | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Downtownchalybrown | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Try Harder | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mission First | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zanduhoc | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cojelo Pa Ti | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dads Good Runner | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chris’s Revenge | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kaladin | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Okie Den Den | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Depoli | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Solo in Paris | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Votre Sante | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Friday Surprise | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Pennsylvania Nursery S.) – Pennsylvania Nursery S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red Zone Runner | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Me | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flyin Hawaiian | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mailata | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smoked Bourbon | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Connor’s Crew | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gavone | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ourboysadreamer | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Cornucopia S.) – Cornucopia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alani | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nature’s Candy | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Takethemoneyhoney | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Top Gun Girl | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mega Mil | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Doctor Abbie | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eclair Blanc | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beach Daze | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Queen | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Burner Account | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Turkey Trot S.) – Turkey Trot S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Adero | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Cork | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ninetyprcentmaddie | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Fast | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Flay | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jamie Dreams | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hermoso Hombre | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nixon Joy (ARG) | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Shamrock Rose S.) – Shamrock Rose S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Keystone State | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | River Escape | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bounce | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wesawtaylorinparis | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C’est Chouette | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coppedge | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Intentions | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Philly | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Crown Royal Babe | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justifiable Steel | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Somemunny to Love | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Let’s Give Thanks S.) – Let’s Give Thanks S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Twisted Ride | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maximus Meridius | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunny Breeze | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bernie’s Mitts | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Howgreatisnate | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Paradise Valley | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Houghton Shuffle | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Veeson | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bump N Run | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wax Box | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.