Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Right On Right On | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Andy | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yellow Brick | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winters Lion | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Springs | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barricade | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fountain Run | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Map to the Stars | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Evan On Earth | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sinister Smile | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Risk It | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goldbrick | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fielding | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Michael’s Cove | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All About Croge | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Secured Lender | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Turn Up the Trees | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pair of Socks | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good Mojo | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle William | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Attersee | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vdaytothetenacious | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Deal | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Seraphine | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Decadent | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amarth | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flash Wear | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quantum Burst | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fede | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jenkin | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Give Her Another | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tempers Fly | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toasted Roll | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bamtwentyklater | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Nancy S | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chandon | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sea Lion | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Misty Muppet | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ahamo | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Proprietary Trade | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Show Time | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Top Gun Tommy | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lightning Struck | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Pranks | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Swaggish | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Guanare | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Outlier | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Kunshan Bridge | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Balsa | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | J J’s Joker | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bloodline | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Xander | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ahumado | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Weslan | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sergeant Gump | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Joe Shiesty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nothing Better | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heart Headed | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Operation Sunrise | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dhabab (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Champlin | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mischievous Rogue | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Monarch | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Clutch | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Henro | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 98 | Clairita | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aeolian | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Delicious Diva | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Jules | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Fantastica | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glamorama | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Champagne Nights | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Episist | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Theravada | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lilium | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rockaway Reef | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ellen Jay | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Job | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Verity | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marmalade Skye | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pistol | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Metaphysical | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapit Quick | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anakarina | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bow Draw | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Falls City S.) – Falls City S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Regaled | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Spa | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raging Sea | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alpine Princess | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Standoutsensation | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quietside | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Corningstone | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chilled | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neon Icon | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In Just My Heels | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Cardinal S. Presented By Resolute Racing) – Cardinal S. Presented By Resolute Racing
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pin Up Betty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vive Veuve | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Proctor Street | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stylish Sue | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miwa (GB) | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Weighted Average | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fleetingly | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Lookin Lucky | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Czech | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Duvet Day (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sabalenka | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Tap the Champagne | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Adrasteia | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Speech | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pursuitneversleeps | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Prestigio | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Northern Chill | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stiglets | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Clampett | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Gesture | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Nelson | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Work | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Faust | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | B Sudd | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rowdy Riot | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thunderhawk | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.