Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Voila Magic | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked as Haggart | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yorktown Panther | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clearly Majestic | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Wicked Cat | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Asthecoldwindblows | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Storm Miami (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Expectations | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cheetah Lady | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pisciotta (GB) | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chantilly Road | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conch Fried Rice | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aledean | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doudoudouwanadance | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Sassy | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moonie Pie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kin to the Wicked | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Been Real | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Rain Is Gone | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nothin | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Iron | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mikkisonthinice | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Queen | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beekman Street | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Thebabeslayer | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Ride Or Fly | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ramblin | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kelz | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Whatever | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Practical Joker | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s a Charmer | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Turbo Launch | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Matching Funds | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Leonardo | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Connection | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cruisin Chuck | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Final War | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Road Trippin | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moral Man | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Braken Poppa | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Super Mo | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bright Note | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whtruwearingrlfrnd | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Keen | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Simple | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Bit Forgotten | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Longshot Baby | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Epic Style | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Triumphant Spirit | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tommie G | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Malibu Smart | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just the Sky | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ontario | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | September Magic | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Starina | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Quarry | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Miskellieanne | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Say I Do Sadie | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spicy Italian | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Purring | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Deal’em and Weep | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Stormy | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lofty Heights | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Picked | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ackley | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baby Vino | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tedder | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emancipation | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Walkers Creek | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy Roy | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | B D S Streaker | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Enlighten | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oscar Season | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Another Mystery | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Next Level | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rock’n a Halo | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yinzer | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Not Falling Back | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foligno | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Legalize | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sabi | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hard to Fathom | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baltimore Heart | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Z Z’s Prince | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Thanksgiving Classic S.) – Thanksgiving Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Komorebino Omoide (JPN) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Wine Steward | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surveillance | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Yoda | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mondogetsbuckets | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wendelssohn | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bear River | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Donegal Clan | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goodlookinjustice | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | F T W Slam | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Louisiana Jess | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yockey’s Drivethru | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Avery’s Gem | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lauri’s Wish | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Myglorybee | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Razor Crest | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conejo Chapin | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pop’s Peppysteper | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.