Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Voila Magic | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked as Haggart | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clearly Majestic | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yorktown Panther | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Asthecoldwindblows | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Wicked Cat | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mo Expectations | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pisciotta (GB) | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Storm Miami (IRE) | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doudoudouwanadance | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cheetah Lady | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Sassy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chantilly Road | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Conch Fried Rice | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Aledean | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moonie Pie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kin to the Wicked | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Been Real | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Rain Is Gone | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mikkisonthinice | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Iron | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Nothin | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Queen | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Thebabeslayer | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Turbo Launch | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Practical Joker | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ramblin | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beekman Street | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | He’s a Charmer | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Connection | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Final War | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moral Man | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Road Trippin | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kelz | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cruisin Chuck | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ride Or Fly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Leonardo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Whatever | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Matching Funds | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Super Mo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bright Note | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Longshot Baby | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whtruwearingrlfrnd | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Braken Poppa | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Simple | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Bit Forgotten | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Keen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Epic Style | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tommie G | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ontario | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Quarry | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Malibu Smart | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just the Sky | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Triumphant Spirit | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spicy Italian | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Purring | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lofty Heights | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Say I Do Sadie | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Stormy | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | September Magic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Starina | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Deal’em and Weep | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Miskellieanne | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy Roy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tedder | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Emancipation | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Walkers Creek | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Picked | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ackley | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | B D S Streaker | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baby Vino | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Enlighten | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oscar Season | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foligno | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sabi | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Another Mystery | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yinzer | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Legalize | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rock’n a Halo | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Not Falling Back | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Z Z’s Prince | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baltimore Heart | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hard to Fathom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Next Level | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Thanksgiving Classic S.) – Thanksgiving Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Komorebino Omoide (JPN) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goodlookinjustice | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wendelssohn | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surveillance | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Wine Steward | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mondogetsbuckets | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bear River | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Donegal Clan | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Yoda | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Conejo Chapin | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Myglorybee | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Louisiana Jess | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lauri’s Wish | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | F T W Slam | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pop’s Peppysteper | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yockey’s Drivethru | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Avery’s Gem | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Razor Crest | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.