Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tell ‘Em I’m Comin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Christmas Spirit | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dats My Pharaoh | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Edelweiss | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Railroad Inn | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Albert Finnigan | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Be Tha Judge | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jose Can’t Say | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doug’s Triumph | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | P J’s Song | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keeping It Country | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pudge Boy Palace | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Island d’Lite | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Renegade | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prom Knight | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quincannon | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | King Covee | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | War Humor | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wiffleball | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Tinmarin | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Express | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Same Day as L J | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Night Preacher | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Benny Havens | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rennie | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Devastating | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arise My Love | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Fool With Me | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Centsamilla | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fiveclocksomewhere | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runsweetly | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Sue | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Margaret P | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ribbonsinherhair | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Permed | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Don’t Tell Kelly | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mainstream Sellout | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Isabella’s Glory | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Sox | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skip Thru Da Fire | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Watch Your Tone | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dubstep | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Judith’s Cross | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Musical Entourage | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Renfro’s Reception | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gordito | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oxford Union | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Efficacy | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Renegade | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Classic Martini | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pujol | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Cardinal | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Showpiece | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Viral Video | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Channel King | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Riyadh Moon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bolt of Aurum | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heard On Thestreet | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Optical Bijou | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tenebris | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seven’s Eleven | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff Ronnie | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Cat | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | In the Dance | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Juniper Juice | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Dalinar | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Davyjonz | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dominguez | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Crab Daddy | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dolice Vita | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Augustine Red | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mugatu | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Joe the Jet | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Nothingbutbluesky | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All the Hardways | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Krone | 15.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 15.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Thataway | 15.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Roll On Jesse | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Do It for Michael | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shootersgottashoot | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Schrader | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiny Lake | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Winning Trip | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just for the Money | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Square Slice | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.