Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tell ‘Em I’m Comin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Christmas Spirit | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dats My Pharaoh | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Edelweiss | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Railroad Inn | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doug’s Triumph | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Albert Finnigan | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jose Can’t Say | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Be Tha Judge | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Keeping It Country | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | P J’s Song | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Island d’Lite | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pudge Boy Palace | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prom Knight | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quincannon | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Renegade | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wiffleball | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Covee | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | War Humor | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Tinmarin | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Night Preacher | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Same Day as L J | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Benny Havens | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rennie | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Express | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Fool With Me | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Centsamilla | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devastating | 1.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fiveclocksomewhere | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Sue | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runsweetly | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Margaret P | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arise My Love | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Permed | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ribbonsinherhair | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Isabella’s Glory | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mainstream Sellout | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Sox | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Watch Your Tone | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skip Thru Da Fire | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Judith’s Cross | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dubstep | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Don’t Tell Kelly | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Renfro’s Reception | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oxford Union | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gordito | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Musical Entourage | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Efficacy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pujol | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Showpiece | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Renegade | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Classic Martini | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Channel King | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Viral Video | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Cardinal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Heard On Thestreet | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bolt of Aurum | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seven’s Eleven | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Riyadh Moon | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff Ronnie | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tenebris | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Optical Bijou | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Cat | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Thataway | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Juniper Juice | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Davyjonz | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nothingbutbluesky | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dominguez | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Krone | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dolice Vita | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dalinar | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | In the Dance | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mugatu | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Joe the Jet | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Augustine Red | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Crab Daddy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Roll On Jesse | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | All the Hardways | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Do It for Michael | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiny Lake | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Schrader | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just for the Money | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Square Slice | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shootersgottashoot | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winning Trip | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.