Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Battle Anthem | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pastero | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wampanoag Chief | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Change Your Name | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Wish | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chartage | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blacktie Gift | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chilling Time | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Splitting Stones | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | It’sspringboiii | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Week’s Strong | 4.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Award | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cattin | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Venezuelan Triumph | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marty’s Magic | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zippy Gizmo | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | H C Holiday | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big John | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Allaboutthemoney | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Lion | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shouldhavebeengone | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hephepcutdownnets | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lion in the Sun | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sams After Party | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Military Hero | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gus’ Ten | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lecanto | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Very Bad Guy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Major Thomas | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Balantyne | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New Commission | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Waldrip | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ahsad | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magical Road | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Renegade Serenade | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Winkiwinki | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sirani | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fuhgeddaboudit | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rolls Royce Joyce | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sirenetta | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Opportunity | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tomarie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Beyond a Million | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Jake Rocks | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Six Whips | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brindisi | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Rod Rumble | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chip’s Friend | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kate’s Golden Dude | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lord Winsalot | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Crypt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Meet Me At Mundis | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Immense Faith | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Catire Vizcaya | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alastar | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ponder and Dream | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mysterioso | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Letter to You | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cahvari | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quetzal Island | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King’s Back | 4.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thomas Benjamin | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Xerces | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Faytastic | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spirited Ride | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shock | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tariba Dream | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ragtap Girl | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Penny Polka | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joey the Fish | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alma Brilha | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Breezy Dance | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Steve | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Party At Sam’s | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gordian Knot | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Factor U and Me In | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grahmalamadingdong | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capo | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wax Box | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Young Squire | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Insurmountable | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Get Set | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pachelbel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pearls and Heels | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Uptown Girl | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Big Dreamer | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snappy Ride | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duela Dent | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pacific Princess | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Equus | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Et’s Moon Maiden | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mo’s Vino Mesa | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Annabelle | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.