Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | All About You | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sticker Shock | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream From Within | 20.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Search Party | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bisclavret | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Theoretical | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Milky Way | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fancy Footwork | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancin in Old Town | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Thistooshallpass | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Viking Quest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Glow of a Rose | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Happy Prince | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gairloch | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street Party | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Moluccan | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Causeway | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Massachusetts | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Because of Love | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dark Hope | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Penn Star | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sun Dodger | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Two Jack | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flaming Rainbow | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mendels Mate | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Empire West | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Light Cav | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Untethered (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Presumptuous | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Time Left | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blues Music | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Noble Glow | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Private Debbie | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Legit Chick | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Majestical | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Powered by Family | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Inuit | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Al Ghadeer | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | How About Now | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | White Smoke | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Maximum Offer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mo Biscuit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Shot At Perfection | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | My Steel Magnolia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Ed Brown S.) – Ed Brown S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Boyd | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gallivant | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Dom | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stradale | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bobrovsky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ganaas | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | It’s Our Time | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tripp’s Promise | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stop the Car | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Time for Music | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Misinformation | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fulmine | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bust Out | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Happiest Moment | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valiant | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Belle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Core Memories | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | A. P.’s Girl | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Copycat | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tikihut | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Karma Cat | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maverick Queen | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Liam’s Latte | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fire | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uptown Problems | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Karma Wins | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Alone Time | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tam Tam | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Runway Rebel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Market Chill | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dreaming of June | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Maximum Effort | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiernanogue | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liberty National | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Turnback | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Albus | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Timberline | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Rocket | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Swift Blade | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flash of Chaos | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stirring Words | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Section | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Market Runner | 10.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | One Reward | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Blue Mountains | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hoss N Boss | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | No More Kings | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Fern Creek S.) – Fern Creek S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | On Time Girl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paige Turner | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Fine Chardonnay | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Solemn Vow | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Woodstock | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mackinac | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I B Flyin | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Go to Girl | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | River Rise | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Have Faith | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gotcha | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kilo Tango | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sun Chaser | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clark’s Corner | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Joke Joe | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Race Ready | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Go for Rocket | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Supercharger | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midshakin | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bluegrass Pike | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lion Guard | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Magic Brew | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | High Honors | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Graced | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Instant Impact | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Flash the Magic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Kentucky Jockey Club S.) – Kentucky Jockey Club S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Universe | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Further Ado | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cherokee Nation | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Kapur | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soldier N Diplomat | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spice Runner | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Very Connected | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Golden Rod S.) – Golden Rod S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Life of Joy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bella Ballerina | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Letmecounttheways | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baracca | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Atropa | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Raspberry | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Essential Coffee | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Singing | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vita Mia | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coco Connect | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | The Grumpy Rabbit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Wonzee Weather | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Explora | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Dragones | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cannoneer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cornwall Boss | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Robert Lee | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Moose | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Circle Me | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Associated | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Regeneration | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Buy It | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Different Gravy | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stakeholder | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Howlin’ Wolf | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Janey’s Flyin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rockies Balboa | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Navigate | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Fatguyinlittlecoat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.