Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Liberty Rising | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dormello | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ridolfi | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aetherium | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Killybegs Kid | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chilly Cheesesteak | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Isola d’Oro | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Let’s Get Weird | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kay Cup | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Embraceable Gal | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ariana Rye | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | City Blocks | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bam’s Bliss Kiss | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweetest Princess | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bold Endeavor | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Six Kings | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiberius Mercurius | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winter’s Ghost | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Suerte | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Commandperformance | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Because the Night | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spirit of Esther | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Calling an Audible | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bow to Clara | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Furry Fox | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blenheim Baby | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon N Lace | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cha Cha Wren | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | That’sthefactjack | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fort Griffin | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Waitin’onasunnyday | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Two Ducks | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sixer | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adamonthegrill | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Game for It | 3.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Final Joke | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tinseltown | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slay Sadie Slay | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hello Newman | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Island Charlie | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Army Proud | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fric and Frac | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monte Avi | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Until Last Call | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anmolo | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nordic Fyre | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Exploration | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Let It Ride | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rithm Nic | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Disarmed | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kaz Sugar Bank | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sergeant Capps | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Celestial Glaze | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shattuck | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Man in Finance | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What’s Up Bro | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tall Paul | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yo Banana Boy | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Factually Correct | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clancy Fancy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Braciole | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Morethanafeeling | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cousin Ed | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Senor Pickles | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shoot the Nickel | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leading Role | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Doomed | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wajda | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dialbolico | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Zakat | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Hand Rich | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Come Full Circle | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Arc | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.