Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Feeling Grand | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Torre Eiffel | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wartank | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | White Whale | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Start to Win | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crazy Diamond | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two Dollar Bill | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tap Em’ Out | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lotsandlotsofcandy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twirl Around | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tripolina | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ervadean | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cervaro Della Sala (GB) | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foreseen | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liuzza | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mimi’s Grace | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked One | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Braken Good | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Texas Queen | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Long Tail Sally | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fire Moon | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Teralee’s Charm | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madison’s Charm | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vasy (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Honors | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mendels Mate | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mom’s Spaghetti | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Frontier Justice | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arbiter | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ship Serve | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Janey’s Flyin | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mischief Ride | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | On Brand (IRE) | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Navigate | 10.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | On the Burner | 15.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Taterpie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Jaydeevee | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Paramount’s Pick | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | El Halcon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Consequential | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Onyx Outlaw | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Sniper | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bye Bye Brady | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Au Naturel | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Federal Agent | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | One Tough Road | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Apache One Six | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mountain Grandeur | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Third Pick | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Student Regent | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Biz Whiz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hot Ice | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Scuffle | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Most Amazing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mimicry | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bolt Dior | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Revel Toast | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Have Faith | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tizianna | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tearin’up My Heart | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kitten Gloves | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queen of Queens | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spirited Anne | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Authentic Angel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Victory Music | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Matinee Idol | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trouble Ahead | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amalgamate | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Berniedott | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Huevos d’Oro | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Free Advice | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Old Trace | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mubarez | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Reinbow Factor | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Franklin Wilder | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ponca | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Purple Heart | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bergen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suncroft | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tom Cat Tuesday | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ma Rae’s Girl | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Innova | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sharp Swinger | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ravens Dream | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Focusyn | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Killjoy | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chado | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Storm the Streets | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Presider | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Out of Deductions | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Minkster | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | King Curlin | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mount Rundle | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sardis | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Daunt | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Thomas | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lincoln Highway | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Just a Fair Shake | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bold Discovery | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Archie the Giza | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Stroke of Midnight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Welaka | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Army Officer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dimatic | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harrodsburg | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tap Into This | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Billal | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Two Eagles River | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Tour Player | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oscar Eclipse | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arro Smash | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Caramel Chip | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Three Technique | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Beeline | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Luck | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fort Sam | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tennessee Lamb | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Cherokee Mile S.) – Cherokee Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Dragoon Guard | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scotland | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | This Is Uscar | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Will Take It | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Multitask | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Implementation | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Track Mate | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moonlight | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Banjo Chris | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trademark | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Chat | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ripped | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Curlin’s Gesture | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tre Italiani | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dettori | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Barb | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Original Sin | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Johny’s Rendezvous | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Show of Force | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Overstatement | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Terrapin Station | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toga d’Oro | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.