Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Oleg | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | New York Strong | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ellinger | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D Hopper | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | World On Fire | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yercan Maro (ARG) | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Not So Holy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chase a Dream | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Maupansant | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Return Fire | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twice Gold | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Repeatingofcourse | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Grey | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | White Blue | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Real Talented | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Atlas Strong | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Solving Progress | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bay Street | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rowsie Express | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pam Pam | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girvinized | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vodkatini | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Intrepid’s Legacy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Medagooch | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Change My World | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Heavens | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All the Hardways | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wickeddivine | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paco the Taco Man | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hoppetosse | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Papacito | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sugar On Fire | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scaredy Catness | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gonzalo | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Lang | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flying to Work | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Babble | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Superlastingsecret | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Final Offer | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thunder Cry | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brother Bobo | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Knucker Punk | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gaelicheartofgold | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Furious George | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Band Tour | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Moonlit Frost | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Apolaustic | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jack o’ Bite | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Future | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Le Gris | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Ways | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hagrid’s Flame | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Omaha Omaha | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pirate | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crossland | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King’s River | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Passage East | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conquerthosewecan | 1.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m a Cutie Pie | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goodnightngodbless | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Clouds | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Braganza | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cut From Class | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Itsamonstamash | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rosieontheriver | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spencer Tiara | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Esroh | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Determind Princess | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nancy Mary | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Obliging | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Gold Candy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
