Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Denizen | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Western Run | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suspiciously Named | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Nate | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Traitour | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carc Brothers | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Prospero (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Runninginthemoney | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Creekside | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | City of Love | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purrrfect Rhythm | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spinning Aces | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Takeover Fiftyfour | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | You Good | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joey’s Lightening | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Syvestar | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mo for Us | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mika Ella Pika | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liam’s Mist | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hopeitsmyluckyday | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jus Makes Cents | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Country Belle | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sienna Breeze | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Be Real | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Restore (FR) | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Valiant Humor | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Ben | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Film At Eleven | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Samaritan | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flawless Beast | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Urban Ruler | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Greasepaintgroucho | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Jus Surprise Me | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Texas Town | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Niko | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Upturned Brim | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Guile | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Moscato | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Liam | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ashaab | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Josan | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Check Me Out | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mary’s Boy Bolt | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bolt From Above | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sharp Strike | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Scholar | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | C Mac Da Boss | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Date the Prince | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | No Take Backs | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jack Rabbit | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aries Honor | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cash App Mike | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Boy Boy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hammer of Justice | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Maki Monarchy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Battle Drum (FR) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Collective Beauty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paving | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Special Sauce | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luv Your Neighbor | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unfaithful Rose | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Final Shipman | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Carson Street | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shakin My Head | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fake Smart | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Princeton | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whatever | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ride Or Fly | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prepped | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Leonardo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Strong | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Aces Honor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Shuggy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Matching Funds | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sell the Buffalo | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madame Markievicz | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amora | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’ Argonaut | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Illy Simz | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Diamond Tiara | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spicy Noodles | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maiz’n Money | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ms. Brandi Shaw | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mom’s Hands | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.