Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Running Faith | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Custom Ruby | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Aurora G | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stella Guitar | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Echos | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cause We Can | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rainy Day | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Louisiana Wildlife | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starry Eyed | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Final Half | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Angelic Knight | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Custom Cadillac | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cesium | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Breeze | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Thief | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Louisiana Native | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zoey’s Hippie | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cloudy Lass | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flower Girl | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clearly Authentic | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tia Lupe | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Town Renee | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Belle | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Vienna Waits | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Improve Position | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Truly an Honor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | We Miss Arlington | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charco | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gavel | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Roses | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Julia’s Warrior | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boss’ Dialin In | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twofexusnexus | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Father Goose | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | September Magic | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dashin’ Diva | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Mo Joke | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Party Pauline | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shan’s Quest | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Day for the Gray | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Walkinaftermidnite | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Annie’s Joy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Call’em All | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Debt Free | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Spinning Glory | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Biles (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Berlaine | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slam Diego | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamonds Joy | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Huntleigh | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Save the Queen | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Castle Magic | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Maximus | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mamba Out | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shorty Mac | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simona’s Choice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Go Captain | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Mmmmm | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Built | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Save the Trees | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Petcoff | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | That’s Right | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Vacation Dance | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | News At Nine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Island Cruiser | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Monsieur Candy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Warheart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Emilyhasherturn | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Honor His Half | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Copper Moon | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alexaplayborntorun | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Daisy de Oro | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Madalyn Claire | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zipping Molly | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Steal Me Over | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Where’s Aunt J | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Maximum Moxie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.