Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hes the Bomb Too | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quik Punch | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Black Cloud | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gabbys Bling | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rexinator | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Chulupa | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stray Cat Strut | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m a Night Train | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dee’s Legs | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Sopo | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boy Charlie | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Game and Gormley | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Prospect | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pitch and Run | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freddie by a Nose | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Native Star | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Ready | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stiff Drink | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Throwin’ Shade | 2.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gotta Deal | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Prince Liam | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iron Fortune | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Bodie | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yakety Yock | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beach Trippin | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Righthoofleftright | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome William | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Country | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nelle Tue Mani | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lee’s Wicked One | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Streak | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Stanley Little Boy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Global Stage | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lode of Blarney | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alterana | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Truvy’s Bandit | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | India Ink | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Global Pride | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Empire Kid | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saturday’s Gold | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | War Song | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Copter | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Seehoss | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yankeestrolgy | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Talkin Slick | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Hope | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dewclaw | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Idol | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chad’s Flash | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Run Carlos | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deacon Jones | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | C F Spunie Style | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Come On Mulitch | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catalina Express | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | U Rascal U | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Screen | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Staniel Cay | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eligio | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Squall | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seven Digits | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Golden Glider | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brite Outlook | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Heist | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr McGregor | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tdzshininluckystar | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Cheese | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Next Level | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ballinonabudjet | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Girl From de Bayou | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Campout | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Embrasser | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Jane | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quiet Melody | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ellie Moore (IRE) | 1.80 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Wicked Number | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Special Feature | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | This Gray Mischiev | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Take Her Away | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Good by Faith | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gold Miracle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
