Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Globalist | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Veracruz | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Remix | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rapid Return | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy At Midnight | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Style | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kochan | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Popgoesthecandy | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Get Her Number | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dutch Mills | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Moment | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Logical Myth | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ben Diesel | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bling Mountain | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speight and Malice | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Malibu S S | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northvale Road | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Callitfateluckarma | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Suprising Code | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kirbys Dewdrop | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strikethreeyourout | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Kendra | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rainbow Smiles | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Bond Too | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Our Moon Pie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mission Lockout | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Risky With Whiskey | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Alive | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charming Oakie | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eurostormsurvivor | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | McMusic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perp Walk | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cabo Mischief | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Warrior | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapitboy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Windtapper Win | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dicey Wager | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shaggy Edge | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fastened | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Marquee Lady | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So Jacksann | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runaway Okie | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crystal Claire | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gettin Out of Here | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chitoz’s Blur | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Look N Mighty Fine | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz a Ten I See | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kiss My Dice | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Double L’s Army | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Giveitaspin | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mirror | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bank On Daisy | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Runnin N Gunnin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Appropriated Funds | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love Tank | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blameitonmidnight | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thunders Rocknroll | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moonlight Gambler | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Express | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Davina | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tigers ‘n Bears | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hamazing Wisdom | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Multiple Opinions | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Derby Date | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Lorenzo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R D C Posse | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Summerbird | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Cat | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royally | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love Candy | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vienna Prize | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.