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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 11, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cajun Moviestar 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Who Is Chief 12.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Musical Band 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Metairie 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Global Honor 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Temple of Peace 10.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Victory Prince 4.50 5.8 11-1
8 8 Rescue Squad 10.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Bob’s Channel 12.00 10.7 20-1
10 10 Lightning Twirl 12.00 10.9 21-1
9 9 Reach for the Aces 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dixie Doctor 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Spoken Code 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Dan d’Oro 2.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Oliverio 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Muncle 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Peyton’s Day 8.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Wayllen Richard 8.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 No Rematch 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gordito Hermoso 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Malaki Empire 4.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Crigler 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Colt’s Brim 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Shawn’s Solving 5.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Harpes Hill 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Gatsby’s Fortune 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Big Scully 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Fortuity 6.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Boitano 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Red Road 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 People Force 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Courageously 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Little Rocky 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Super Wise 20.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Prowling Tiger 20.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 He Gots to Go 15.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Clarestown 15.00 7.3 14-1
16 16 Mailman Money 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Ben Dreaming 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Z Z’s Prince 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Temple City Run 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Mysterious Spirit 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Romeo Spikes 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 That’s Apriority 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Classical Knight 4.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Custom Ride 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Closing Agent 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Louisiana Star 4.50 6.5 12-1
6 6 Warrior Rouxgaroux 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Storm Miami (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Don’t Say It 3.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Rue Lala 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Biscuitwiththeboss 5.00 1.9 3-1
2 2 Classic Performer 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Cairo Dream 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Aldora 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Black Ginger 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Beautiful Mischief 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Moon Mist 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Amalfi Drive 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gem Buoy 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Sunday Breeze 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Hard Line 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Le Monstre Rapide 3.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 American Dollars 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Our Majestic 8.00 5 10-1
4 4 Daddy’s Code 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Real Drama 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Ocala Gala 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Lewinsky 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Click 20.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 High Street Pizzaz 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 My Blue Line (GB) 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Veto Proof 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Chat Room 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Pleasing 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Al Latafah 8.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Supreme Moon (IRE) 6.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 War Belle 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Flipping Fish 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Premium 2.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Arthur 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Letshaveonemore 4.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Glenn’s Jumper 12.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Oncoming Train 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 The Speedy One 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 B W P Spirit 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Supremely 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sanpirodu 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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