Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Master of Arms | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Emerald Forest | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ten Cent Town | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Screaming Uncle | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grouch | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stop the Spread | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In Sky We Trust | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sacrosanct | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Floodlites | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trust Fund | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ranger Battalion | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Re Markably | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Mitole | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Notah | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crossingthechannel | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fightforallegiance | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sonic Surge | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Markinater | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iron Honor | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Funky See Funky Do | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Right to Party | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marble Hall | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Jim | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Social Hour | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coffee Talk | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Timaeus | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vibrant Express | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Kartrite | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New York Scrappy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Confabulation | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat On | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Empire | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ride Up | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smilensaycheese | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Warrior | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Union Express | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Solo Empire | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Enduring Spirit | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kismeholdmethrlme | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Liberty’s Advance | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tuthilltown | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boiling Point | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quinns Silent Roar | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fairy Godmother | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hire the Hat | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Signal Chat | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ishkabibble | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ms Nikki D | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Celestial Body | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Fortune | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | City War | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Rock Steady Babe | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Aqua Blaze | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Purple Divine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Go For Wand S.) – Go For Wand S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Weigh the Risks | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stonewall Star | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Katherine | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scalable | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zadorsky | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tipple | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Collect the Data | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Save Us Melania | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Yankee Doodle | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Broadway Lights | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Mama | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Belle Ofthe Dance | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Walk With Me | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Fascinating | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Racing Colors | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Filly Freedom | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Princess Becca | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Grand | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dorth’s Sol Dancer | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clearwater Beach | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Graceful Rose | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Capital Gal | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Last Glory | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carol T | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Howling Wind | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sunshine Lily | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cara’s Dreamweaver | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tralee Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.