Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chance | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Shadow Surge | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Tinmarin | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Schrader | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Straight to Water | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiny Lake | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In the Chase | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Alex | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bold Endeavor | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Majestic Tiger | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Masakado | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fan Club | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Catatumbo | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Be Here | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Master of None | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lost River | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | On a Proud Note | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feelin So Lucky | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bugged Out | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bond’s Belle | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Infastuation | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Police Woman | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiz the Great | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Finny | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Greyline Station | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lino’s Fire | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paid Vacation | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Master Schemer | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cosmic Fate | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fowl Mouth | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Palacios | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feels So Right | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Sand | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Roscoe | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Day Will Come | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Denae | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Do It for Michael | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Turbulent Force | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just for the Money | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fear Nothing | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rapidity | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Vibes | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Jaunt | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breezing Up | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cattivo Ragazzo | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swill | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | On the Mark | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tenebris | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff Ronnie | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Manor House | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Mule | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | All the Hardways | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In the Dance | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carvellian Quest | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Formal Affair | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crab Daddy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Rod Kitty | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kuaga | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yes Picnic | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oscar Bound | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Storm | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last Gift | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shenadoah Sunrise | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond N Dress | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.