Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Little Ditty | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hexcel | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ten Days Later | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Bro Coop | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steel Venom | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | License to Steal | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Homeland Messa | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Sailor | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Bandit | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Last Half | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Austyn Jane | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Congrats Cadet | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fret No More | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gormley’s Queen | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Gem | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | True Blue Sky | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roar of Silence | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Desert Glow | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wicklow Gal | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Harmonic | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Serene Kathleen | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Start Singing | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | April’s Gem | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Kitten | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosie’s Angus | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dickie T | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Hint of Scandel | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clearly Artemus | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Joke | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tdzmystreaminhint | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hear Thunder | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A G’s Charlie | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | McGinnis | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pencil Bluff | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Got Stripes | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Just Bernie | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Vengeance | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tequila n’ Salt | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zun Reyder | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Film At Eleven | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Irish | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bonafide | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rivage | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Traitour | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Berlaine | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slam Diego | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Diamonds Joy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Save the Queen | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Castle Magic | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Huntleigh | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mamba Out | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Maximus | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | September Magic | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Debt Free | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Biles (IRE) | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Party Pauline | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dashin’ Diva | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I’m Mo Joke | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swoonatra | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shan’s Quest | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Walkinaftermidnite | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sister Swede | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tommie G | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Starina | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lovely Emma | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tizntshelovely | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | We Miss Arlington | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Solidify | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Charco | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gavel | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guile | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twirling Roses | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twofexusnexus | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Boss’ Dialin In | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Xander | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Father Goose | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.