Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Storm Surge | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Acadiana | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Image of Me | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mopac Traffic | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Style Maker | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz a Breakup | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cupie Cutie | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lundigrasmambo | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | M King Baby | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Marks Legacy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Imma Deal | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Mane | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Take the Hint | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Misdeal | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runforjustice | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | He’s Exaggerating | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Geaux Warrior | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Priscilla Rose | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boston Chit Chat | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Woods | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Money Drop | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wildly Wicked | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Atchafalaya Sunset | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Kinda Deal | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caribbean Son | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | On the Horizon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aye Bay Bay | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doublebarrelvinny | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Sweet Deal | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unforgetableimelda | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hold the Drama | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spun Silk | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Butler Cabin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gucci Boy | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Celtic Pride | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Surprise Road Trip | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Confucius | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dustin the Diamond | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mosquito Fleet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | El Perfecto | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Torpedo Charlie | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gone Elvis | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girlie’s Max | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flame Rock Fire | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Metronome | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Competitive Shock | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ciel | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Best Performer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Everloving | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prima Bella | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aledean | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Show Me the Candy | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Can’t Zap This | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forgotten Fortune | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | San Juan Hill | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ells | 2.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Muffin Nuts | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cabro Toro | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Mischief | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fort Bonz | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Verdict | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Infinitesimal | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gobot | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
