Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Image of Me | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Acadiana | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Surge | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cupie Cutie | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Style Maker | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lundigrasmambo | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz a Breakup | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mopac Traffic | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | M King Baby | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Golden Mane | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Imma Deal | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Take the Hint | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marks Legacy | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runforjustice | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Misdeal | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | He’s Exaggerating | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Money Drop | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caribbean Son | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Kinda Deal | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wildly Wicked | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Woods | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boston Chit Chat | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Priscilla Rose | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Geaux Warrior | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Atchafalaya Sunset | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aye Bay Bay | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | On the Horizon | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doublebarrelvinny | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unforgetableimelda | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spun Silk | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hold the Drama | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Sweet Deal | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Butler Cabin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Perfecto | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gucci Boy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mosquito Fleet | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Celtic Pride | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surprise Road Trip | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Confucius | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dustin the Diamond | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Girlie’s Max | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flame Rock Fire | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ciel | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Competitive Shock | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Metronome | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Torpedo Charlie | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gone Elvis | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Everloving | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aledean | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Best Performer | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forgotten Fortune | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prima Bella | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Can’t Zap This | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Show Me the Candy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ells | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Infinitesimal | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Muffin Nuts | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | San Juan Hill | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fort Bonz | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Verdict | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cabro Toro | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Mischief | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gobot | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
