Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Menty B | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slim Causeway | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Madame Markievicz | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Bit O Storm | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maylen | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Back Street Baby | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Becky’sgottahaveit | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Factor of Time | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ostrica | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mallory Unbridled | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Snazzy Gal | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Thirteen | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vanna G | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Delightful Halo | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moneyforwednesday | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Boy Boy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Byword | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C Mac Da Boss | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sand Cast | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Take Backs | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Vision | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fade to Gold | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Super Mo | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lost Art | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C C Fanta C | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cookie Brookie | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mischievous Cindy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clearly My Star | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oldfashlovesong | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oh Baby | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | It’s Just Simple | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mister Banderas | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shot Gun Shack | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Remi | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | First Samaritan | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alwaysfreaky | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Such a Pickle | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jus Surprise Me | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Humor Me Boy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Honor Azteca | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cloudy Lass | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Truly an Honor | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Blast | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clearly Authentic | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flower Girl | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Danzig’s Dora | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Amazing Lady | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gatsby’sgreenlight | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tia Lupe | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Plantain | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Improve Position | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Birkin Elegance | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Built | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cultivate | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Save the Trees | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brodeur | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Island Cruiser | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honky Tonk Highway | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carambaso | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Higgins Boat | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vacation Dance | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mister Mmmmm | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Petcoff | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Captain | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | That’s Right | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monsieur Candy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baxley | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | News At Nine | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warheart | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fit to Fly | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Covey (GB) | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Voila Magic | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smash It | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dapper Moon | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sounds Like Power | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Avery’s Gem | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pop’s Peppysteper | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Late September | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Young Tuscan | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sono | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Myglorybee | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speightful One | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.