Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | American City | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Salt Lick | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Cat | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bernin Tune | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sawyer Fox | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Upturned Brim | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Concentration | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thebabeslayer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vitruvius | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Antiphon | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joey D | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dirty Straight Up | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. My Eyes | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Code of Parapluie | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Parole Drama | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Henry | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | My Man Brandon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jayjayjay | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Time | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Custom Spark | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean Voyager | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Louisiana Star | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charlie Gamer | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Taurean | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Trippin | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runner Runner | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Purple Heart | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mister O | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pakula | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lunar Mine | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daredevil Doug | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Invasion | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | El Maximo | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Swagger | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Too Cold At Home | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Diva Beach | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Star | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grace Hazel | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awree | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Birdie Call | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Starsnmotion | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Run Bambi Run | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Visionista | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clearly Creeps | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clearsugar | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chapellete | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deroutante | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Proven Hope | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Soul Coaxing | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | All West | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Master Game | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daryl’s Bolt | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crimson Storm | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Overanalytical | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impeccability | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carthage Cajun | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Regimental | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Auntie Vodka | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Constructively | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Veracious | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Look At Me Nah | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Town Renee | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Belle of Liberty | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pam’s Friend | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | P. O. S. H. Posh | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alrosa | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Vienna Waits | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Keira | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wosiemaks | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Francesnfriends | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mom’s Hands | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Kisses for Cooper | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mary Claire | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Platinum Midnight | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meg’s Ladybug | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Vickie’s Halo | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Naykesh | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charlie Brahms | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Expect a Guitar | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Global Value | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | El Tintineos | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Southern Love | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.