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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 19, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 American City 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sawyer Fox 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Indian Cat 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Big Salt Lick 3.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Upturned Brim 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Concentration 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Bernin Tune 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Thebabeslayer 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Antiphon 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Dr. My Eyes 8.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Dirty Straight Up 8.00 7.7 14-1
4 4 Parole Drama 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Code of Parapluie 8.00 8.2 16-1
6 6 Lil Henry 30.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Vitruvius 4.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Joey D 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 My Man Brandon 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Jayjayjay 4.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Runner Runner 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Custom Spark 6.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Bayou Time 4.50 2.6 5-1
10 10 Taurean 12.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Ocean Voyager 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Charlie Gamer 10.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Louisiana Star 10.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Beach Trippin 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Beach Invasion 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Purple Heart 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Mister O 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Pakula 4.50 5.3 10-1
8 8 El Maximo 12.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Daredevil Doug 6.00 7 13-1
3 3 Too Cold At Home 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Cajun Swagger 12.00 7.7 14-1
9 9 Lunar Mine 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lady Star 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Birdie Call 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Grace Hazel 6.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Diva Beach 3.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Visionista 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Clearsugar 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Awree 6.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Clearly Creeps 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Run Bambi Run 12.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Starsnmotion 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Deroutante 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Chapellete 15.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 All West 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Soul Coaxing 4.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Proven Hope 3.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Crimson Storm 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Carthage Cajun 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Impeccability 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Regimental 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Daryl’s Bolt 6.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Overanalytical 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Master Game 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Auntie Vodka 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 P. O. S. H. Posh 10.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Constructively 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Belle of Liberty 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Alrosa 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Happy Keira 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Mo Town Renee 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Veracious 5.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Look At Me Nah 6.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Vienna Waits 20.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Pam’s Friend 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Platinum Midnight 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Meg’s Ladybug 10.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Wosiemaks 3.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Francesnfriends 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Mom’s Hands 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Mary Claire 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Expect a Guitar 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Global Value 15.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 El Tintineos 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Naykesh 12.00 6.6 13-1
12 12 Southern Love 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Charlie Brahms 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Vickie’s Halo 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Kisses for Cooper 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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