Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pronghorn | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Delicious Diva | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | With Kindness | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nana Grace | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Episist | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ante Up Tony | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baby Avery | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ye Ole Joker | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Phantom Slayer | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamofyou | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wildcat Country | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kingscliff | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bye Bye Brady | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’ll Miss You | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Most Amazing | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Onyx Outlaw | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ripple’s Rocket | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bolt’s Munny | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Little Dixie | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mad About Marie | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Dahlia | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunny Isle Beach | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Crushed Ice | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bee a Queen | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | What’s to Do | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Queen of Salsa | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oops and Downs | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Tappy Tone | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spin the Breeze | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Rodeo Star | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Courtney Fay | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Summertimee | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Minnesota Ready | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devil’s Tower | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thoughtthatcounts | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frost Free | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ninja Warrior | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Sam | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Molly’s Town | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alder | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Distorted Pro | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Cool and Cloudy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chupapi Munyayo | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allo Enry | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 13 | Jacks Spring Break | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Chez Whiz | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Only a Dream | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Blessed Vision | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Partyinthestreets | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Socks | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stomping Hotrod | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Macho Ronnie | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hoppin John | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Statler | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Uncashed | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ghost of Midnight | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chiringo | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clampett | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unlimitedpotential | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ludwig | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Cab | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lunar Module | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cold as Hell | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ceepeegee | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Devils Fork | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Giant Moon | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Azteca Warrior | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clear Echo | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time Andbeyond | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grey Street | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Razorback Army | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outlaw Run | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chromerunner | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dawn Strategy | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Castle Gap | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speaking Loud | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Lord Hennessy | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Battleoftheravine | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amalfi Drive | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ervadean | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Martini | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Layla | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Popperina | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Demidanu | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Practicallyelusive | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Squall | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lover Girl | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gloriette | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bow Draw | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Silks Overnight S.) – Silks Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kalahari Dreams | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | U Devil You | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amorosa | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Justice | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Swinger | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hymn | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dreaminblue | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Faust | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amoudi Bay | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tranche | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Wicked Strong | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bettera | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brittany’s Dream | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tejas | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ambiguous | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Italian Symphony | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mansoura | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Aspiring Comedian | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | One Mor Story | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Remember the Fear | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reveille Valley | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Red Devil | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Guadalajara | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.