Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Close Up | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daytime Drama | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tea Rose | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Autumn in Vermont | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tasty Time | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rylnnslookinglucky | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Brew | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Julia’s a Fox | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feel the Bolt | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Class and Sass | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Intrepid’s Legacy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winning Trip | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Davyjonz | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elvis Himself | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Formal Affair | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Masayoshi | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gluckstadt | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Andy | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adamonthegrill | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pont Aven | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ballinaclash | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paintmymasterpeace | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Matthew’s Ticket | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chalk Talk | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boorada | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Freeze the Fire | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swill | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gun It | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Excellent Timing | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seven’s Eleven | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catahoula Moon | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz No Clown | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Night Preacher | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Howard And Sondra Bender Memorial S.) – Howard And Sondra Bender Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quint’s Brew | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Kingdom | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slam Notion | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Showstopper Copper | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Diversion | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cap Com | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Carousel S.) – Carousel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lute Warm | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Complexity Jane | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Sky Is Falling | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sultry Lass | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Intrepid Mo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Di’s Surprise | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Doctor Abbie | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bailintin | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Late Nite Call | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Journey | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Audibly | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Politely S.) – Politely S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Takethemoneyhoney | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Onyx Ten | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Green Eyed Monster | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Conquerthosewecan | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grayson’s Girl | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Harriett | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Itsamonstamash | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil Pays in Gold | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Robert T. Manfuso S.) – Robert T. Manfuso S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Post Time | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Not This Boy | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barbadian Runner | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Teachintherelease | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Point Dume | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hittheroadjak | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pay Billy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Zipper | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Just a Click | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crab Mentality | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Mary Ann | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Candy | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gripen | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s a Good Girl | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poney Island | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fastfeld | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rosie’s Fortune | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.