Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Fuoco Vivo | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I C Light | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Finding Candy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bootsontheground | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Here Comes Leo | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Win Runner | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pop | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Little Big Man | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ky’s Law | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Supreme Honor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Four Courts | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bottomless Mimosa | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Agenda | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Been Busy | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Do I Look Worried | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Downtown Ro | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jessica’s Dream | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chitchatchitchat | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | You Ain’t Poppn | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rocketeer | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wistucky | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roar Ready | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Little Birds | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Top Maverick | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | If I Can Dream | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Value Inthe Clouds | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Italian Wine | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Better Day | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bethel Road | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Fifty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Losmastix | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tocayo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alasdair | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mythical Man | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sky’s Not Falling | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand David | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brigade Commander | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conquering King | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sherman Fury | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Farmer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | To the Eastside | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Nonconsecutivetrms | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irresistible | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | World Builder | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brown Diamond | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wine On Sunday | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mia Familia | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Street | 6.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Viking Quest | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lillesand | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dirty Diana | 12.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elegant Charm | 5.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Serralunga | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chartist | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Curly Q Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Osmosis (FR) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lion Lake (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Swirvin | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tap Gold | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rolling On | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Etendre | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saybrook | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Skull | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amor Lejano (ARG) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Random Harvest | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Moonlight | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eternal Silence | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tour Jete | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Afrodita | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mama Bella | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fantasy Performer | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amie’s Symphony | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shelovestotravel | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maerdama | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alanis | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Five Eyes Onmichel | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Sunday | 30.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Town Street | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin to Rock | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flatter Fanatic | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mario’s Sweet Girl | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mission Hill | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eton | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jurisprudence | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit of the Law | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Salute | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Steelin Bases | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Simo | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Great Oscar | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Bob | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Try to Make Cents | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Starship Magellan | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giuro | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.