Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Summer Shoes | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kitiara | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Girl in Red | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s Storming | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Memory Maker | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ngala | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildwood Queen | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Courageous Cappen | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Edge | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Windy Walk | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Liberty Belle | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cervaro Della Sala (GB) | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Up On the Edge | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miranda’s Rocky | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiffany Twist | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Sister Sue | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Sense | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Solevo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapwrits Temper | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He Is Heaven Sent | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Springtown | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wind Rider | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Montana Cafe | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mamoot | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Matt’s Luck | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nacho Bar | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skibidi Rizz | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Born Flawless | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rabbit Hound | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Knicks Story | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Hornet | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J J’s Joker | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | City of Clouds | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cane Creek Road | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Steel Link | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Boss Ben | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jacks Spring Break | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sergeant Gump | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dawn At Normandy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Legend | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Poppa Echo | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gun Fire | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Long Time | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | World Fair | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy At Midnight | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | La Lengua | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lower Broadway | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saving Heart | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tall Cotton | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I Got No Munny | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stage Left | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Sterling | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aaron | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Steven | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Holiday House | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lightning Struck | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Konteekee | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rowdy Riot | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Camp Evans | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bob’s Carrot | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ripped | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thunderhawk | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baytown Bruiser | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pride’s Prince | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Hammer | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scottish Storm | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Bro | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Poinsettia S.) – Poinsettia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hillerito | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Benedetta | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jersey Pearl | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapit Quick | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kant Believe It | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gray Lightning | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | L. A. Woman | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Low Key | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Allihies | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adogate | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Floating Beauty | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Authentic | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vino Tiempo | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | New Light (CHI) | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet I’m Not | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bang Bang Fury | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | End of Innocence | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gowells Delight | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zaghruta | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Not a Joke | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kerry’s Kiss | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Crimsonite | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Woopig | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lobby Rendezvous | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mysidehustle | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Shadows | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Nap | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Esperanza’s Spirit | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.