Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hot Route | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Faye L. | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uthinkicare | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Delphine | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papiringa | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shelbi’s Star | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Little Millie | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Magical Deal | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Appeal Kati | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boston Elle | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Orthodox Dixie | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mae King Sum Magic | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Deal With It Daddy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ice’m Up Boys | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Game Port | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cunimbus | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Guitar | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heavenly Deal | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Andale Muchacha | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prytania | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Q | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cairo Dancer | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ida Lilly Girl | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Millie’s Deal | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vodka Martini | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leaving Shadows | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Begforforgiveness | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Safe Bet | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Detective Bernardo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mud On My Boots | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Butcher Holler | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Thimble | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunset War | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Inchhighatahundred | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Picasso Baby | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Poppa Magic | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tonteria | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deacon Jones | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | McZ | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freddie by a Nose | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Corporal Paul | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pocketful of Money | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Celebrity Quest | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Echo Juliet | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Kate | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bartender | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shesabeast | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | St. Tammany | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Educated Wish | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lambo | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Motor City | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seasonal Love | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leobobanna | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Donegal Moonshine | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Echo Down | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tripple D Ruller | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Battalion Strike | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Boyd Rewards S.) – Boyd Rewards S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saint Gabriel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Causeway Benny | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Doctored Deal | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star Rock Star | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jeffrow | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chad’s Flashy Ways | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Otra Cosa | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pacificislandtime | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majority Opinion | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pocketful of Money | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Valhalla Viking | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Penei | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fierce Cat | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whatdidwedo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Brad’s Cowboy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ruiz Junior | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wildcats’s Meow | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Bodie | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Country | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Righthoofleftright | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arkansauce | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.