Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tempting Lady | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Battling Time | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Faytastic | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Arwen | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spirited Ride | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Koutoubia | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reassess | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Love Like Crazy | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Everheart | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m a Lucky Girl | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mikey’s Song | 10.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One of the Ones | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Charm of the Song | 12.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Violets Smile | 5.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Starship Legend | 10.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Miss Cinnamon | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Preach It Warrior | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kevin’s Strike | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Regalpains | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Auden | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Prime Motive | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fully Committed | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exclusive Dancer | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Modern Era | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bijah Again | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Watch Hill | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Be Honest | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vin Santo | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Warrior | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Real Blues | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Notturno | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Gentleman | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inmortal J | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ramiel | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Real Conviction | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Point Strut | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Asmodeus | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Traffic Master | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cody Pass | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yodel E. A. Who | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eloquist | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amity Road | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storming Chrome | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Porter | 4.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bestsugardaddyever | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Basin Bay | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Freely Held | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Racetrack Romance | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bootleg Runner | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star Sweeper | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fine Diamond | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wave Rider | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grande Felino | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Notion | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Steve | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wax Box | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Respirator | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rebel Invasion | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Party At Sam’s | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gordian Knot | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Veeson | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Tones | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Heavy | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cloud in the Wind | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bedtime Story | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Wiggy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winkiwinki | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Shining Spirit | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Sofster | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Popthechampagne Ro | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Why Not Babe | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rolls Royce Joyce | 8.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Swell | 15.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Five Star Fran | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gia’s Fuego | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Onthisharvestmoon | 20.00 | 13.5 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Obstinate | 8.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Simply Stated | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Never Sway | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Telephone Line | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Laura | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jump a Fox | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Spicy Delight | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Normandy Life | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ambitiously Placed | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flower Mound | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sundria | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mildoon | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Boss Like Beth | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miles of Smiles | 4.50 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Last Romance | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cattin | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Union | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zippy Gizmo | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Darvesh | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Vendetta | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 17 | 17 | Bet N Win | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 18 | 18 | Majestic Frontier | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Smooth Motion | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Under the Radar | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Batter Up Bud | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sir Cupid | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Agarramesipuedes | 5.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joey the Fish | 20.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 15 | 15 | It’s Authentic | 20.00 | 16.2 | 31-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Marchin Into April | 20.00 | 17 | 32-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shouldhavebeengone | 12.00 | 17 | 32-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheer Dominance | 20.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Fuhgeddaboudit | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Burning Embers | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pacific Princess | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Clout Chaser | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sirani | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Moon Fleet | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Temper | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R Tenderoni | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Aruma | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girlfromouterspace | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lullaby Land | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angelic Storm | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forest Maiden | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tomarie | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Spanish Girl | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cassation | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Carbonite | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Geebert | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Aficionado | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 18 | 18 | Strawberry Treat | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fight Fiercely | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bali Amour | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Capital Conquest | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rockin Freebee | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Competitive Saint | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Roxton | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 17 | 17 | Zihuatanejo | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uninvited Guest | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Gun Maestro | 15.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Catch My Vibe | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crack the Code | 20.00 | 16.3 | 31-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hap’s Victory | 20.00 | 16.7 | 32-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Captains | 3.50 | 18 | 34-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.