Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Credit History | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scope | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gotcha | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coach Kain | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ambassador Blue | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Herbstreit | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kotlikoff | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top Level | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Pressure (IRE) | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Skedaddling Home | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Senor Roberto | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Belle of the South | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Sash | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jayana | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Legacy | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stubold | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Likely Perspective (IRE) | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | U Know When U Know | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fashionable Kitty | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mithril | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lobo Go | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Dancer | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tropical Waters | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He Be Hoppin | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Step Slow | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight Star | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Not Now Nick | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Bid | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pillow Fight | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Battalion Leader | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chivado | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rebellution | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grande Novella | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brentwood | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chaina | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Lady James | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sheshimaintenance | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miguel’s Belle | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Hot Spark | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | R Firebird | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Dreamer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Town | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pike | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gus Swayze | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hawk | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jackpot Cree | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Win Street | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Seminole Chief | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Itsallcomintogetha | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Judge Davis | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Niagara Skyline | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Stripe (SAF) | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sherlock’s Jewel | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Like the King | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cadet Corps | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Trouble Time | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Back Em Up | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Multiverse | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Peeks | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Canuto | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dumb Money | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mike’s Magic | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raging Fury | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mish | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Rampart S.) – Rampart S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | One Magic Philly | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luvumorgan | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sterling Silver | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Claret Beret | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dazzling Move | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Necessity | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Riding Pretty | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gullfaxi | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Job | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mary Marguerite | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Amusing | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Cantera (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Ellary | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Insolenta | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mysunshinegirl | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Popstar | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ditched | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Acheron | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.