Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | The Wolfman | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beach Cowboy | 30.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Striking Sparks | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uniwinner | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Laddie Dance | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Backnthewoods | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bigdaddysboy | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Lance | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Agent | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prom Knight | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Black Candy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Spin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nit Witness | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Not a Lad | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aeronyx | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nancy’s Notion | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Lookin Lili | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chilly Girl | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Qualified Hire | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ade | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fitness | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bugged Out | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Why Not Grace | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First Pearl | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Cozy Thing | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hotmessness | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nemain | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blind Love | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pichu | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Only Maria | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond N Dress | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Hit Wonder | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | It’s a Breeze | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dolice Vita | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Glimpse | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Talklessworkmore | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Melt With You | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tops the Chart | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | White Series | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Self Taught | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jolly by Golly | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Collection Day | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kaladin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Freedom Glider | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Superlastingsecret | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Cardinal | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Railroad Inn | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Showpiece | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Furious George | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Final Offer | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quahog Republic | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thunder Cry | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bold Mirage | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Band Tour | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Apolaustic | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Operatnthunderbolt | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Summerinthecountry | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stanza | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lannister | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pneumo Warrior | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lonesome Road | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bring the Smoke | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Under the Rug | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Free Costs to Much | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zio Salino | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | All the Hardways | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paco the Taco Man | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Great Heavens | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | And Sum | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fear Nothing | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wickeddivine | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Same Day as L J | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Neverworkedaday | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bernie the Star | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Stones | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Permed | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Irish Lass | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lost River | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Watch Your Tone | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Seamstress | 4.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skip Thru Da Fire | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.