Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | The Wolfman | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uniwinner | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Spin | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Lance | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laddie Dance | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Striking Sparks | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Backnthewoods | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Agent | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Black Candy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bigdaddysboy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Prom Knight | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beach Cowboy | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nit Witness | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chilly Girl | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Not a Lad | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aeronyx | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Lookin Lili | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nancy’s Notion | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ade | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Cozy Thing | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Qualified Hire | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fitness | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Why Not Grace | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bugged Out | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Pearl | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blind Love | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pichu | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hotmessness | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nemain | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | It’s a Breeze | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Only Maria | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond N Dress | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Hit Wonder | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Melt With You | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tops the Chart | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Glimpse | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dolice Vita | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jolly by Golly | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Self Taught | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | White Series | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Talklessworkmore | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kaladin | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Collection Day | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Freedom Glider | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Superlastingsecret | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Operatnthunderbolt | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thunder Cry | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Cardinal | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bold Mirage | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quahog Republic | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Furious George | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Railroad Inn | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Showpiece | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Final Offer | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Band Tour | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Apolaustic | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lannister | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lonesome Road | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stanza | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bring the Smoke | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summerinthecountry | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zio Salino | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Free Costs to Much | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Under the Rug | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pneumo Warrior | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fear Nothing | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Great Heavens | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | And Sum | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paco the Taco Man | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All the Hardways | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Neverworkedaday | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wickeddivine | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Same Day as L J | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bernie the Star | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Stones | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lost River | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Seamstress | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Permed | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Watch Your Tone | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Irish Lass | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skip Thru Da Fire | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.