Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Freedom | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bluegrass Town | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He Gone | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Soulman | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Affair | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Taterpie | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | B D S Streaker | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tan Chulo | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mor Cheese Please | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | River Music | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ackley | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Midnight Mischief | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Syvestar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Creekside | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Purrrfect Rhythm | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spinning Aces | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Island Cabana | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Totally Addicted | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joey’s Lightening | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Malaki Empire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Higgins Boat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Enlighten | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foligno | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Out of Deductions | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sabi | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pineland | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Funnyflame | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baltimore Heart | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | St. Armands Key | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Orizzonte | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | National Eclipse | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sully | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flick | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Woodson | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Favorite Day | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elnajd | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chappelle | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mingo | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Woodchopper S.) – Woodchopper S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Montador | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Juris Doctor | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Savion | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Mohawk | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joejoe Go | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Faber | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coco Cool | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Synthetic | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conejo Chapin | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star Rock Star | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Jess | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hawija | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Dan | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Native Red | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gem Buoy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bosun | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lebowski | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arthur’s Court | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Mischief | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Contribution | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Trevaggio | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Custom’s Cleared | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Drilling for Gold | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Western Run | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marcus Gift | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Highstakes Hustler | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hamlin | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Savion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Edgerton | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Confront | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Benji Star | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Evan On Earth | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Romance | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Utopian | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goldbrick | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fully Volatile | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | South Bend Tom | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Pago Hop S.) – Pago Hop S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bracelet | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hear the Queen | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ninth Island | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caviar Breakfast | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unmerited Favor | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Multiplication | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cheetah Lady | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sea To Sky (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady of Sky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | A. P.’s Girl | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lit Up | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aegis | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestical | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tortuga Coast | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honor Society | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Law | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Outro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pardoned | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deal Me Trips | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spiritual Duty | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dulce Lorefiche | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Mo | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dayofthewarrior | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Make Me a Deal | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bellastone Country | 4.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thine Ruckus | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Andys Plan B | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.