Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bluegrass Town | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Freedom | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Affair | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Taterpie | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ackley | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He Gone | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | River Music | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soulman | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tan Chulo | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Midnight Mischief | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mor Cheese Please | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | B D S Streaker | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Syvestar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Island Cabana | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Purrrfect Rhythm | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creekside | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Totally Addicted | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Malaki Empire | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spinning Aces | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joey’s Lightening | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Higgins Boat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | St. Armands Key | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Orizzonte | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Out of Deductions | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Enlighten | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pineland | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Funnyflame | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foligno | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baltimore Heart | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | National Eclipse | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sabi | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Favorite Day | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chappelle | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elnajd | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flick | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mingo | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sully | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Woodson | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Woodchopper S.) – Woodchopper S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Montador | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joejoe Go | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Juris Doctor | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Mohawk | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Savion | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Faber | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coco Cool | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Synthetic | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conejo Chapin | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Rock Star | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gem Buoy | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Jess | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hawija | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Native Red | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Dan | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Western Run | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Contribution | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bosun | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Mischief | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Drilling for Gold | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Savion | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hamlin | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lebowski | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Edgerton | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arthur’s Court | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Trevaggio | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marcus Gift | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Custom’s Cleared | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Highstakes Hustler | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Evan On Earth | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fully Volatile | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Benji Star | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Confront | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | South Bend Tom | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goldbrick | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Romance | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Utopian | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Pago Hop S.) – Pago Hop S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bracelet | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hear the Queen | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caviar Breakfast | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sea To Sky (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unmerited Favor | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cheetah Lady | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Multiplication | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ninth Island | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady of Sky | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Majestical | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aegis | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A. P.’s Girl | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lit Up | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Outro | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Law | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honor Society | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tortuga Coast | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pardoned | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deal Me Trips | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bellastone Country | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Make Me a Deal | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Mo | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dulce Lorefiche | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Andys Plan B | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spiritual Duty | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dayofthewarrior | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thine Ruckus | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.