Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Whitethorn | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Restless Dreamer | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Motown Diva | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Queen Dancing (GB) | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Por Voce | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Marketplaceofideas (GB) | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Third Kiss | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Magic (IRE) | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Via Veneto | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eenymeanymightymo | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Science (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Equitas | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Olympic Dame | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Poverty With Aview | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Private Property (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Freedom Street | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Muheet | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Four Beach Friends | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bernardo’s Legacy | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hillbilly Bob | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Rabano | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskytangodisco | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Great Empire | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Dani Boy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lodato | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Genuine Gomo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wannabeeloved | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold N Breezy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giftedbydesign | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Bagent Man | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broderick | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fredericksburg | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blast Radius | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Train | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin At Roses | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lou the Body | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dune Road | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brooklyn Guy | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swashbuckle | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Give Me Liberty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Puckered | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Light Fury | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vino Santo | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Frank’s Art | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Walter Me Lad | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lookin for Roses | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pet Mat | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Battle of Dover | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rock the Stars | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honesto | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Downing Street | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fourth Dimension | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Class President | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Dylan | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prize Pick | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Easterly | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Puma | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pax Mundi | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Win for the Money | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Abrumar | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clever Mischief | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Missed the Cut | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Agate Road | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Relampago Verde | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Degree of Risk | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boltage | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bonus Move | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wow Whata Party | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Forged Steel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ice Chocolat (BRZ) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jayhawk | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Private Thoughts | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Megalodon | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prevent | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tour the City | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brawn | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No More Options | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bail Us Out | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Abundantia S.) – Abundantia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Haulin Ice | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moon Spun | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Etrurian | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love Appeals | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flamingo Way | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Choose Joy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mizoula (IRE) | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vindicate Cha Cha | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sporting Lady | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Le Amazonia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Mr. Prospector S.) – Mr. Prospector S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Knightsbridge | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wound Up | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hold My Bourbon | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lethal Speed | 50.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Chow | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Playmea Tune | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Great Navigator | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | White Abarrio | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Capturing | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Modarosa | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bottle Rocket (FR) | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lying by Omission (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Curlaine | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Faith Understood | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Cha Cha | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Agia Marina | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oxar | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | World Traveler | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
