Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Shenanigans | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tipmanee | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honor Roll | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rerun Table | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Won Ton | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curlene’s Spirit | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Knickoletta | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wyoming Class | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Says | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brighty | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bjorn | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liam’s the Great | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Robert’s Moon | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3 | Indy Charges On | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Group Ticket | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 2 | Fromanothamutha | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Indy Magic | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 8 | El de Larry | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Night Time Nap | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Formal Affair | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Super Accelerate | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rina Is Fire | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Earn | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seaside Road | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spencer Tiara | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meg | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lastchance Romance | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bells Beach | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Dazzy | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pam Pam | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shine On Moon | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Old Bay | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arise My Love | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Graceful Rose | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mainstream Sellout | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Krissi N | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Sriracha | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Anotherhope | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anita Beer | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brightness | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ticklers | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tierra Santa | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Bombshell | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon N Lace | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fabia | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Gin Talking S.) – Gin Talking S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Just Philtored | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dazzling Dame | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slewperstitus | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peach Tie | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C’est Chouette | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnite Ginny | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Heft S.) – Heft S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Probably Dreaming | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gurney Halleck | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Very Volatile | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Zone Runner | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Power Grid | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hollywood Import | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ihaveanappforthat | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Worker Bee | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildncrazyguy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Work Hard | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bigtonten | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Jaunt | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candycrumbs | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speedy Alex | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strategist | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amazing Bernie | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
