Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cattle Baron | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sioux Empire | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spooky Action | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Henry Oliver | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amore | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wolf Tooth | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fleetwood Jack | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rebel Charlie | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marvelous Marty | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Search Party | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dare Greatly | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rockin Robin | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sharing Wisdom (GB) | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Intangible | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dolladoro | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Very Demure | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Highlight Show | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Justa Rebel | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cactus Charlie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Circle Tap | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fleek | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devilish Act | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Timberline | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rocky Raccoon | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbonkoma | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Meanstepper | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rockfest | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Out Flat | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Candy Cane Crain | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | No More Kings | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Gun | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rochester | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Race Ready | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Six String Prince | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palmer Beach | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Edzo Said So | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foolish Mortal | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Khonsu | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Copperjacket | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Secret Slew | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tallahassee | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s So Coal | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | She’s My Last Call | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Chocolatte | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cutenclassy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shrimp Cookie | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Artemis Sparkles | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valeska’s Promise | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Inuit | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | C Note Gia | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lilmissindependet | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 7 | 7 | B’s Luck | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | McFasty | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miskell | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Little Krush | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brosnan | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prime Suspect | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Highly Connected | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Turin | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paired | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Maxxus | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fitzgerald | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Best Known Secret | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Devilish Do Gooder | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Izzy’s Gunna Run | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Gun’s Loaded | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Joke Maker | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | French Friction | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Macy | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Black Magic River | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Charted Destiny | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forum Confidential | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run On States | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Secret Date | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ducat | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Year’s End S.) – Year’s End S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Counting Stars | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paving | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Copper Wind | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scot’s Law | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Authentic Cat | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sticker Shocked | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Newtown Pike | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fizzy Lass | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kaboom | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Killa Sally | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legal Lightning | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Huck’s Agenda | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Steel Girl | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yes Julia | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | You’re in Heaven | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Muskoka Katt | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buckeye Favorite | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Army’s Marauder | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brandy Foot | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Kid Charlemagne | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Opus Uno | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Horse of the Sea | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | After Party | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Herbs Bolt | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | French Knight | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Audible | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just Like Max | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Santinni | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War Munny | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Knick the Quick | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Divot Digger | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.