Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Week’s Strong | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pastero | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stinger Bee | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wampanoag Chief | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Change Your Name | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saint Ephrem | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sunny Magic | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Tamalero | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Splitting Stones | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rogue Prince | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Viral Video | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Wish | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Craigh Na Dun | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Gentleman Don | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Alphadini | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 12 | 12 | It’sspringboiii | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Keeping the Faith | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Light My Way | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Extrasexymcsteemee | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Deivys | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Son of Delilah | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coalville | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Legendary Thunder | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lyonzi | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Evasive Moves | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pam Pam | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tower Twenty Two | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Volatility | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Racey Ruby | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Equus | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Southampton Dock | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zeena Swift | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Au Some Warrior | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Banjo | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Biagio | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Mendel | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bobo Liver | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hoppy Time | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drunkle | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Back East | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mybandit | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Raging Cajun | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sam’s Glory | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Finance | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Alastar | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Petey Motto | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Is Ponte | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J Cody | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Onceinawhile | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thomas Benjamin | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Divine Grace | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Date Night Kisses | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amy Mule | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Summary Judgment | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mary’s Reward | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Waitwaitdonttellme | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Peach Perfect | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bunny Bonus | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goldcrest | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beachgrass | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Extremely Gruntled | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Recker Point | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Try Harder | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Lincoln | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midlaner | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runandscore | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Smooth Flyin Mike | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Colton | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Severn Run | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magnificent Mile | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Downtownchalybrown | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ponder and Dream | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mysterioso | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Capitaine | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | N. Y. Finest | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | B Raging On | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold in My Hands | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buff Gary | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cahvari | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Carousel Queen | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Centre Court Champ | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dewey Doit | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aoife’s Magic | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reigert Girls | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tap Dancin Cowgirl | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Delray | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mila Rose | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Snappy Ride | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strong Like Sara | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Macanga | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Queen | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Dads Good Runner | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Simply Disregarded | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Knight | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curious Soul | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Union Purrfection | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucchesi | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Max Forward Speed | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twenty One Kid | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hey River | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Kid Syd | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happyflyer | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Badbadbobby | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Fazaro | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pontiac | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Dos de Oros | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Hawkstone | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.