Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Aleramo (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sakura Flavor (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Delta Dawn | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Patriot | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exington | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Step It Out (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Lithesome | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Union Heiress | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Billie Holiday | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Christa McAuliffe | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Great Shaking | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goje | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goodgollytizmolly | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meridian Mae | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gogotiz | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Blue Norther S.) – Blue Norther S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | La Ville Lumiere | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Latte Luv | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peanutbutterbombe | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Like the West | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hypergamy | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Total Val | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Into the Hall | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lubie’s Music | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Convo | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manhattan Beauty | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sparrow | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mad Pursuit | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thatsalrightmama | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tupelo | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Leasure | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sketchy | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cathal (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Glory (GB) | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Choochies | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Old Nine (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spearfish | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oobubbakakayo | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tessuto | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scatify | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ballyhooligan | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thirty Two Chunk | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Chilly | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Machupicchu | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | B Grayson | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maximus | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Joe Hernandez S.) – Joe Hernandez S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Motorious (GB) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imagination | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | El Potente | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gas Me Up | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sorrento Sky (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unconquerable Keen (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yellow Card | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zio Jo | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 15 | 15 | First Peace | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Awesome Rhythm | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sumter | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Schwarzmeier | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Son of a Birch | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flyover | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Feel the Magic | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Disrespectful | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oubabe | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Known Idea | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Team Player | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Left Hand Man | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Austonian | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Keithing Thunder | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strongerthanbefore | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Gypsy Cowboy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speed Grazy | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rio Grande | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Medici | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charlie’s Curlin | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keagman (IRE) | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mendel’s Tune | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Essos | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Biggiebiggiebiggie | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | American King | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | House of Mischief | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Chapter One | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nezha | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saharian | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.